Yes
Market Model 15.0% 10.6%
Space Markets
Company KPI Tracker Market-implied forecasts for deliveries, subscribers, orders and DAU, against Octagon's own estimate.Active Markets (1)
| Event | Market | Model | Conf | TI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Starship launches humans to Mars before 2030? Yes refers to: Before 2030 | 15.0% | 10.6% | Med | 58 | Refresh |
Expired Markets (4)
Yes
Market Model — —
SpaceX Starship 12th launch? Kalshi
Yes
Market Model — —
Yes
Market Model — —
Yes
Market Model — —
| Event | Market | Model | Conf | TI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| — | — | Med | — | ||
| — | — | High | — | ||
| — | — | High | — | ||
| — | — | Med | — |
