Stifel Financial
Market Model 1.0% 0.3%
Rothschild & Co
Market Model 19.0% 4.3%
IPOs Markets
IPO Tracker Companies preparing to go public, with the market's view on timing.Active Markets (31)
Morgan Stanley
Market Model 1.0% 1.1%
Goldman Sachs
Market Model 94.0% 92.6%
Before Jan 1, 2027
Market Model 91.0% 93.6%
Before Dec 1, 2026
Market Model 87.0% 90.6%
Before Jun 30, 2027
Market Model 5.0% 3.0%
Before May 1, 2027
Market Model 5.0% 3.0%
Largest IPO by market cap in 2026? Polymarket
Anthropic
Market Model 41.7% 35.4%
SpaceX
Market Model 54.0% 63.4%
Before Jan 1, 2028
Market Model 27.0% 23.0%
Before Jul 1, 2027
Market Model 9.0% 4.7%
Before Jun 1, 2027
Market Model 8.0% 6.4%
Before May 1, 2027
Market Model 2.0% 6.4%
Before Jan 1, 2027
Market Model 7.0% 5.5%
Before Jan 1, 2028
Market Model 24.0% 24.7%
Before Jun 1, 2027
Market Model 12.0% 18.0%
Before Jan 1, 2027
Market Model 3.0% 8.0%
Before Dec 1, 2026
Market Model 11.0% 6.4%
Before Jan 1, 2027
Market Model 5.0% 6.4%
Before Jan 1, 2027
Market Model 7.0% 4.7%
Before Apr 1, 2027
Market Model 43.0% 31.7%
Before Jun 1, 2027
Market Model 24.0% 16.2%
Before Jan 1, 2027
Market Model 11.0% 7.4%
Before Jan 1, 2027
Market Model 7.0% 3.5%
Before Dec 1, 2026
Market Model 3.0% 1.5%
Before Jun 1, 2027
Market Model 12.0% 6.9%
Before May 1, 2027
Market Model 10.0% 5.8%
Before Jan 1, 2027
Market Model 4.0% 6.7%
Before Dec 1, 2026
Market Model 7.0% 6.7%
Before Jun 1, 2027
Market Model 18.0% 8.0%
Before Jan 1, 2027
Market Model 15.0% 5.0%
Before Jun 1, 2027
Market Model 21.0% 12.3%
Before Feb 1, 2027
Market Model 6.0% 3.0%
Before Jan 1, 2027
Market Model 6.0% 4.0%
Before Feb 1, 2027
Market Model 17.0% 9.9%
Before Jan 1, 2027
Market Model 6.0% 5.2%
Before Jun 1, 2027
Market Model 34.0% 34.9%
Before Apr 1, 2027
Market Model 7.0% 4.0%
Before Jun 1, 2027
Market Model 5.0% 4.2%
Before Jun 1, 2027
Market Model 7.0% 41.9%
Before Apr 1, 2027
Market Model 5.0% 41.9%
Before Jun 1, 2027
Market Model 25.0% 19.2%
Before Apr 1, 2027
Market Model 5.0% 4.0%
Before Apr 1, 2027
Market Model 11.0% 6.4%
Before Jun 1, 2027
Market Model 16.0% 9.3%
Before Jan 1, 2030
Market Model 26.0% 0.1%
Before Jan 1, 2028
Market Model 7.0% 0.1%
OpenAI IPO by...? Polymarket
June 30, 2026
Market Model 0.0% 5.5%
December 31, 2026
Market Model 14.0% 5.5%
OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap Polymarket
Yes
Market Model 84.0% 87.2%
IPOs before 2027? Polymarket
SpaceX
Market Model 100.0% 100.0%
Ledger
Market Model 9.0% 3.6%
OpenAI
Market Model 24.0% 25.7%
Anthropic
Market Model 70.0% 71.6%
Information Technology
Market Model 81.0% 78.7%
Unassigned
Market Model 10.0% 8.8%
Real Estate
Market Model 1.0% 0.9%
Information Technology
Market Model 90.0% 75.7%
Citigroup
Market Model 41.0% 27.9%
Goldman Sachs
Market Model 31.0% 18.6%
| Event | Market | Model | Conf | TI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Which banks will take Anthropic public? Top outcome: Stifel Financial | 1.0% | 0.3% | Med | 66 | Refresh |
| Which bank will lead Anthropic's IPO? Top outcome: Morgan Stanley | 1.0% | 1.1% | High | 71 | Refresh |
| When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO? Top outcome: Before Jan 1, 2027 | 91.0% | 93.6% | High | 71 | Refresh |
| When will Starlink officially announce an IPO? Top outcome: Before Jun 30, 2027 | 5.0% | 3.0% | High | 65 | Refresh |
| Largest IPO by market cap in 2026? Top outcome: Anthropic | 41.7% | 35.4% | High | 59 | Refresh |
| When will Waymo officially announce an IPO? Top outcome: Before Jan 1, 2028 | 27.0% | 23.0% | High | 62 | Refresh |
| When will Stripe officially announce an IPO? Top outcome: Before Jun 1, 2027 | 8.0% | 6.4% | High | 56 | Refresh |
| When will Whoop officially announce an IPO? Top outcome: Before Jan 1, 2027 | 7.0% | 5.5% | High | 63 | Refresh |
| When will Rippling officially announce an IPO? Top outcome: Before Jun 1, 2027 | 12.0% | 18.0% | High | 52 | Refresh |
| When will Skims officially announce an IPO? Top outcome: Before Dec 1, 2026 | 11.0% | 6.4% | High | 67 | Refresh |
| When will Oura officially announce an IPO? Top outcome: Before Jan 1, 2027 | 7.0% | 4.7% | High | 64 | Refresh |
| When will Ramp officially announce an IPO? Top outcome: Before Jun 1, 2027 | 24.0% | 16.2% | High | 58 | Refresh |
| When will OpenAI officially announce an IPO? Top outcome: Before Jan 1, 2027 | 7.0% | 3.5% | High | 65 | Refresh |
| When will Olipop officially announce an IPO? Top outcome: Before Jun 1, 2027 | 12.0% | 6.9% | High | 68 | Refresh |
| When will Glean officially announce an IPO? Top outcome: Before Jan 1, 2027 | 4.0% | 6.7% | High | 62 | Refresh |
| When will Fannie Mae officially announce an IPO? Top outcome: Before Jun 1, 2027 | 18.0% | 8.0% | High | 58 | Refresh |
| When will Anduril officially announce an IPO? Top outcome: Before Jun 1, 2027 | 21.0% | 12.3% | High | 66 | Refresh |
| When will Discord officially announce an IPO? Top outcome: Before Jan 1, 2027 | 6.0% | 4.0% | High | 63 | Refresh |
| When will Deel officially announce an IPO? Top outcome: Before Jan 1, 2027 | 6.0% | 5.2% | High | 63 | Refresh |
| When will Cluely officially announce an IPO? Top outcome: Before Apr 1, 2027 | 7.0% | 4.0% | High | 63 | Refresh |
| When will Brex officially announce an IPO? Top outcome: Before Jun 1, 2027 | 7.0% | 41.9% | High | 62 | Refresh |
| When will Beast Industries officially announce an IPO? Top outcome: Before Jun 1, 2027 | 25.0% | 19.2% | High | 60 | Refresh |
| When will AppsFlyer officially announce an IPO? Top outcome: Before Apr 1, 2027 | 11.0% | 6.4% | High | 67 | Refresh |
| When will Airtable officially announce an IPO? Top outcome: Before Jan 1, 2030 | 26.0% | 0.1% | High | 66 | Refresh |
| OpenAI IPO by...? Top outcome: June 30, 2026 | 0.0% | 5.5% | Med | 53 | Refresh |
| OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap Yes refers to: No IPO by December 31, 2026 | 84.0% | 87.2% | High | 59 | Refresh |
| IPOs before 2027? Top outcome: SpaceX | 100.0% | 100.0% | Med | 56 | Refresh |
| Which companies will officially announce an IPO this year? Top outcome: OpenAI | 24.0% | 25.7% | Med | 70 | Refresh |
| What sector will Anthropic be assigned to? Top outcome: Information Technology | 81.0% | 78.7% | High | 70 | Refresh |
| What sector will OpenAI be assigned to? Top outcome: Real Estate | 1.0% | 0.9% | High | 79 | Refresh |
| Which bank will take Kraken public before 2027? Top outcome: Citigroup | 41.0% | 27.9% | Med | 68 | Refresh |
Expired Markets (2)
Before Jun 1, 2027
Market Model 99.0% 100.0%
Before Dec 1, 2026
Market Model 99.0% 100.0%
Citigroup
Market Model 94.0% 92.1%
Bank of America
Market Model 94.0% 90.0%
| Event | Market | Model | Conf | TI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| When will SpaceX officially announce an IPO? Top outcome: Before Jun 1, 2027 | 99.0% | 100.0% | High | — | |
| Which bank will take SpaceX public? Top outcome: Citigroup | 94.0% | 92.1% | Med | — |
