Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Polymarket
Yes
Market Model 15.0% 15.0%
Israel Markets
Active Markets (6)
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by...? Polymarket
Yes
Market Model 4.0% 2.7%
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? Polymarket
Yes
Market Model 7.0% 7.0%
Israel closes its airspace by...? Polymarket
Yes
Market Model 6.0% 3.5%
Benjamin Netanyahu
Market Model 30.0% 24.2%
Naftali Bennett
Market Model 7.0% 7.7%
Netanyahu out by...? Polymarket
Yes
Market Model 48.0% 40.1%
| Event | Market | Model | Conf | TI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes refers to: Yes | 15.0% | 15.0% | Med | 56 | Refresh |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by...? Yes refers to: December 31 | 4.0% | 2.7% | High | 57 | Refresh |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? Yes refers to: Yes | 7.0% | 7.0% | Med | 56 | Refresh |
| Israel closes its airspace by...? Yes refers to: September 30 | 6.0% | 3.5% | High | 77 | Refresh |
| Prime Minister of Israel after the next election? Top outcome: Benjamin Netanyahu | 30.0% | 24.2% | High | 70 | Refresh |
| Netanyahu out by...? Yes refers to: December 31 | 48.0% | 40.1% | Med | 40 | Refresh |
