September 30
Market Model 2.1% 1.2%
December 31
Market Model 8.0% 4.6%
Strait of Hormuz Markets
Active Markets (2)
Yes
Market Model 60.0% 56.7%
| Event | Market | Model | Conf | TI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...? Top outcome: September 30 | 2.1% | 1.2% | High | 65 | Refresh |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes refers to: Yes | 60.0% | 56.7% | Med | 68 | Refresh |
Expired Markets (1)
Yes
Market Model — —
| Event | Market | Model | Conf | TI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| — | — | High | — |
