Hurricane Polo category? Kalshi
Category 5 or above
Market Model 99.0% 99.8%
Category 3 or above
Market Model 99.0% 100.0%
Hurricanes Markets
Active Markets (6)
Hurricane Norbert category? Kalshi
Category 1 or above
Market Model 7.0% 2.4%
Category 2 or above
Market Model 5.0% 1.7%
Above 6
Market Model 33.0% 32.3%
Above 4
Market Model 54.0% 57.2%
Above 4
Market Model 74.0% 78.7%
Above 2
Market Model 82.0% 85.0%
Above 18
Market Model 50.0% 90.0%
Above 19
Market Model 53.0% 85.0%
Above 18
Market Model 10.0% 5.0%
Above 16
Market Model 32.0% 16.9%
| Event | Market | Model | Conf | TI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hurricane Polo category? Top outcome: Category 5 or above | 99.0% | 99.8% | High | 86 | Refresh |
| Hurricane Norbert category? Top outcome: Category 1 or above | 7.0% | 2.4% | High | — | Refresh |
| How many major Eastern Pacific hurricanes will there be this year? Top outcome: Above 6 | 33.0% | 32.3% | High | 78 | Refresh |
| How many Central Pacific hurricanes will there be this year? Top outcome: Above 4 | 74.0% | 78.7% | High | 78 | Refresh |
| How many Eastern Pacific named storms will there be this year? Top outcome: Above 18 | 50.0% | 90.0% | High | 74 | Refresh |
| Number of tropical storms in the Atlantic in 2026? Top outcome: Above 18 | 10.0% | 5.0% | High | 76 | Refresh |
Expired Markets (1)
Hurricane Lowell category? Kalshi
Category 1 or above
Market Model 99.0% 100.0%
Category 5 or above
Market Model 97.0% 100.0%
| Event | Market | Model | Conf | TI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hurricane Lowell category? Top outcome: Category 1 or above | 99.0% | 100.0% | High | — |
