Economic Policy Markets

Active Markets (2)

How many Fed rate cuts in 2026? Polymarket

0 (0 bps)

Market Model 89.0% 89.6%

11 (275 bps)

Market Model 0.1% 0.1%

$50.4M Refresh

Fed rate hike in 2026? Polymarket

Yes

Market Model 63.0% 68.4%

$6.4M Refresh

Event	Market	Model	Conf	Volume
How many Fed rate cuts in 2026? Top outcome: 0 (0 bps)	89.0%	89.6%	High	$50,421,379	Refresh
Fed rate hike in 2026? Yes refers to: Yes	63.0%	68.4%	Med	$6,360,596	Refresh

Expired Markets (1)

Fed rate cut by...? Polymarket

Yes

Market Model — —

$3.1M

Event	Market	Model	Conf	Volume
Fed rate cut by...?	—	—	High	$3,079,008