Before 2027
Market Model 3.0% 2.5%
Before 2028
Market Model 11.0% 5.5%
Inflation Markets
Active Markets (7)
Above 4.5%
Market Model 36.0% 47.9%
Above 4.4%
Market Model 59.0% 60.1%
At least 4%
Market Model 91.3% 90.0%
At least 3.5%
Market Model 99.1% 98.9%
Above 0.3%
Market Model 40.0% 38.4%
Above 0.0%
Market Model 85.0% 83.0%
Above $1200
Market Model 5.0% 10.0%
Above $1000
Market Model 78.0% 83.8%
Stagflation
Market Model 32.8% 36.8%
Soft landing
Market Model 16.9% 29.9%
Yes
Market Model 13.0% 10.5%
| Event | Market | Model | Conf | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Costco raises hot dog combo price? Top outcome: Before 2027 | 3.0% | 2.5% | High | $75,463.87 | Refresh |
| How high will CPI get this year? Top outcome: Above 4.5% | 36.0% | 47.9% | High | $120,862.96 | Refresh |
| How high will inflation get this year? Top outcome: At least 4% | 91.3% | 90.0% | High | $492,831.43 | Refresh |
| CPI in August Top outcome: Above 0.3% | 40.0% | 38.4% | Med | $9,543.43 | Refresh |
| How high will the price of fertilizer get this year? Top outcome: Above $1200 | 5.0% | 10.0% | High | $40,154.6 | Refresh |
| State of the economy at the end of 2026 Top outcome: Stagflation | 32.8% | 36.8% | High | $22,030.68 | Refresh |
| Will core CPI fall below 2.2% in 2026? Yes refers to: Yes | 13.0% | 10.5% | Med | $18,623.03 | Refresh |
Expired Markets (29)
Yes
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Yes
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Yes
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Yes
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Yes
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Yes
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Yes
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Yes
Market Model — —
Yes
Market Model — —
Yes
Market Model — —
Yes
Market Model — —
Yes
Market Model — —
Yes
Market Model — —
Yes
Market Model — —
Yes
Market Model — —
Yes
Market Model — —
Yes
Market Model — —
Yes
Market Model — —
Yes
Market Model — —
Yes
Market Model — —
Yes
Market Model — —
Yes
Market Model — —
Yes
Market Model — —
Yes
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Yes
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Yes
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Yes
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Yes
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Yes
Market Model — —
| Event | Market | Model | Conf | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| — | — | High | $685,036.23 | ||
| — | — | High | $10,704.35 | ||
| — | — | High | $5,022.05 | ||
| — | — | Med | $469,363.2 | ||
| — | — | High | $336,319.58 | ||
| — | — | High | $20,807.96 | ||
| — | — | High | $5,540.46 | ||
| — | — | High | $210,082.16 | ||
| — | — | High | $358,456.36 | ||
| — | — | High | $7,270.29 | ||
| — | — | High | $19,057.95 | ||
| — | — | High | $340,247.65 | ||
| — | — | Med | $67,203.31 | ||
| — | — | High | $646,864.83 | ||
| — | — | High | $108,769.44 | ||
| — | — | High | $673,124.41 | ||
| — | — | Med | $4,026.05 | ||
| — | — | High | $191.64 | ||
| — | — | High | $2,996.13 | ||
| — | — | High | $12,335.74 | ||
| — | — | High | $5,166.64 | ||
| — | — | High | $2,141.35 | ||
| — | — | High | $408,343.77 | ||
| — | — | Med | $36,670 | ||
| — | — | High | $595,061 | ||
| — | — | High | $708,794 | ||
| — | — | Med | $575,935 | ||
| — | — | High | $1,022,794 | ||
| — | — | Med | $69,788 |
