Housing Markets

Active Markets (2)

Above 6.6%

Market Model 81.0% 78.6%

Above 7.0%

Market Model 27.0% 29.8%

78.5K contracts Refresh

Yes

Market Model 14.0% 6.6%

38.5K contracts Refresh

Event	Market	Model	Conf	TI
How high will 30yr mortgage rate get this year? Top outcome: Above 6.6%	81.0%	78.6%	High	66	Refresh
Freddie Mac 30Y fixed-rate mortgage average below 5.75% in 2026? Yes refers to: Yes	14.0%	6.6%	Med	70	Refresh

Expired Markets (6)

Yes

Market Model — —

88.8K contracts

Yes

Market Model — —

11.7K contracts

Yes

Market Model — —

6.3K contracts

Yes

Market Model — —

32.6K contracts

Yes

Market Model — —

8.4K contracts

Yes

Market Model — —

30.0K contracts

Event	Market	Model	Conf	TI
30-year mortgage rate this week	—	—	High	75
US existing home sales for August	—	—	High	—
US existing home sales for May	—	—	Med	—
US housing starts for May	—	—	High	—
US housing starts for April	—	—	High	—
US housing starts for March 2026	—	—	High	—