Putin out as President of Russia by...? Polymarket
December 31, 2026
Market Model 6.0% 4.0%
June 30, 2027
Market Model 16.0% 10.7%
Earn 4% Markets
2026 Midterm Election Tracker Live odds for every Senate and Governor race, the balance of power, and an interactive state map.Active Markets (3)
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? Polymarket
Yes
Market Model 3.8% 3.8%
Netanyahu out by...? Polymarket
Yes
Market Model 48.0% 40.1%
| Event | Market | Model | Conf | TI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Putin out as President of Russia by...? Top outcome: December 31, 2026 | 6.0% | 4.0% | High | 40 | Refresh |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? Yes refers to: Yes | 3.8% | 3.8% | Med | 57 | Refresh |
| Netanyahu out by...? Yes refers to: December 31 | 48.0% | 40.1% | Med | 40 | Refresh |
