Putin out as President of Russia by...? Polymarket
December 31, 2026
Market Model 6.0% 4.0%
September 30, 2026
Market Model 1.4% 0.8%
Earn 4% Markets
Active Markets (3)
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? Polymarket
Yes
Market Model 3.8% 3.8%
Netanyahu out by...? Polymarket
Yes
Market Model 48.0% 40.1%
| Event | Market | Model | Conf | TI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Putin out as President of Russia by...? Top outcome: December 31, 2026 | 6.0% | 4.0% | High | 40 | Refresh |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? Yes refers to: Yes | 3.8% | 3.8% | Med | 56 | Refresh |
| Netanyahu out by...? Yes refers to: December 31 | 48.0% | 40.1% | Med | 40 | Refresh |
