Republican
Market Model 41.0% 35.7%
Democratic
Market Model 60.0% 64.2%
Earn 4% Markets
Active Markets (5)
Which party will win the Senate in 2026? Polymarket
Democratic Party
Market Model 46.0% 41.6%
Republican Party
Market Model 55.0% 58.4%
Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms Polymarket
Democrats Sweep
Market Model 46.0% 38.8%
Republicans Sweep
Market Model 13.0% 9.0%
Which party will win the House in 2026? Polymarket
Democratic Party
Market Model 87.0% 88.4%
Republican Party
Market Model 14.0% 11.6%
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? Polymarket
Yes
Market Model 3.9% 3.9%
| Event | Market | Model | Conf | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Which party wins 2028 US Presidential Election? Top outcome: Republican | 41.0% | 35.7% | High | $1,987,446.58 | Refresh |
| Which party will win the Senate in 2026? Top outcome: Democratic Party | 46.0% | 41.6% | High | $3,754,539.68 | Refresh |
| Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms Top outcome: Democrats Sweep | 46.0% | 38.8% | Med | $9,458,396.97 | Refresh |
| Which party will win the House in 2026? Top outcome: Democratic Party | 87.0% | 88.4% | High | $9,060,714.17 | Refresh |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? Yes refers to: Yes | 3.9% | 3.9% | Med | $39,388,370.81 | Refresh |
