Benjamin Netanyahu
Market Model 30.0% 24.2%
Naftali Bennett
Market Model 7.0% 7.7%
Israel Election Markets
2026 Midterm Election Tracker Live odds for every Senate and Governor race, the balance of power, and an interactive state map.Active Markets (2)
Netanyahu out by...? Polymarket
Yes
Market Model 48.0% 40.1%
| Event | Market | Model | Conf | TI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Prime Minister of Israel after the next election? Top outcome: Benjamin Netanyahu | 30.0% | 24.2% | High | 69 | Refresh |
| Netanyahu out by...? Yes refers to: December 31 | 48.0% | 40.1% | Med | 40 | Refresh |
Expired Markets (1)
October 31
Market Model 77.0% 99.5%
December 31
Market Model 67.0% 99.5%
| Event | Market | Model | Conf | TI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...? Top outcome: October 31 | 77.0% | 99.5% | High | — |
