Yes
Market Model 60.0% 56.7%
Economy Markets
2026 Midterm Election Tracker Live odds for every Senate and Governor race, the balance of power, and an interactive state map.Active Markets (1)
| Event | Market | Model | Conf | TI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes refers to: Yes | 60.0% | 56.7% | Med | 67 | Refresh |
Expired Markets (1)
Fed Decision in September? Polymarket
Yes
Market Model — —
| Event | Market | Model | Conf | TI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| — | — | High | 58 |
