SCOTUS & courts Markets

Active Markets (13)

Comey indictment reinstated on appeal before 2027? Kalshi

Yes

Market Model 17.0% 17.0%

$12.1K Refresh

Will US Supreme Court ban transgender girls and women from competing on female sports teams? Kalshi

Yes

Market Model 36.0% 43.7%

$13.8K Refresh

Will Ghislaine Maxwell be released from government custody? Kalshi

Yes

Market Model 17.0% 12.1%

$37.4K Refresh

Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026? Kalshi

Tim Walz

Market Model 17.0% 8.1%

Ilhan Omar

Market Model 49.0% 36.3%

$712.8K Refresh

Will any court rule that the 2024 election was fraudulent? Kalshi

Yes

Market Model 5.0% 3.7%

$41.8K Refresh

Will the Supreme Court hear a 3rd Amendment case before Trump's term ends? Kalshi

Yes

Market Model 12.0% 9.0%

$6.5K Refresh

Will the Supreme Court hear a case on Trump's tariffs in 2026? Kalshi

Yes

Market Model 42.0% 49.9%

$14.2K Refresh

Will the DOJ claim a Biden pardon is void in court? Kalshi

Yes

Market Model 17.0% 17.0%

$6.8K Refresh

Will Justice Alito retire from the Supreme Court? Kalshi

Before Sep 1, 2026

Market Model 14.0% 9.9%

Before Jan 1, 2027

Market Model 27.0% 19.9%

$126.4K Refresh

Who will be arrested before 2027? Kalshi

James Comey

Market Model 75.0% 67.3%

Barack Obama

Market Model 11.0% 4.6%

$1.7M Refresh

Will any court rule that the 2020 election was fraudulent? Kalshi

Yes

Market Model 8.4% 4.7%

$17.6K Refresh

Who will be the next Supreme Court justice? Kalshi

Amul Thapar

Market Model 9.0% 7.8%

Aileen Cannon

Market Model 12.0% 8.9%

$306.3K Refresh

Which Supreme Court justices will resign during Trump's term? Kalshi

Clarence Thomas

Market Model 50.0% 27.0%

Samuel Alito

Market Model 70.0% 49.1%

$51.5K Refresh

Event	Market	Model	Conf	Volume
Comey indictment reinstated on appeal before 2027? Yes refers to: Before 2027	17.0%	17.0%	Med	$12,109.19	Refresh
Will US Supreme Court ban transgender girls and women from competing on female sports teams? Yes refers to: Before 2029	36.0%	43.7%	Med	$13,764.15	Refresh
Will Ghislaine Maxwell be released from government custody? Yes refers to: Before 2027	17.0%	12.1%	Med	$37,418.65	Refresh
Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026? Top outcome: Tim Walz	17.0%	8.1%	Med	$712,769.36	Refresh
Will any court rule that the 2024 election was fraudulent? Yes refers to: Before 2027	5.0%	3.7%	Med	$41,752.37	Refresh
Will the Supreme Court hear a 3rd Amendment case before Trump's term ends? Yes refers to: any 3rd Amendment case	12.0%	9.0%	Med	$6,525	Refresh
Will the Supreme Court hear a case on Trump's tariffs in 2026? Yes refers to: a case primarily related to tariffs imposed by Donald Trump	42.0%	49.9%	Med	$14,231.17	Refresh
Will the DOJ claim a Biden pardon is void in court? Yes refers to: Before 2027	17.0%	17.0%	Med	$6,841.31	Refresh
Will Justice Alito retire from the Supreme Court? Top outcome: Before Sep 1, 2026	14.0%	9.9%	High	$126,382.55	Refresh
Who will be arrested before 2027? Top outcome: James Comey	75.0%	67.3%	Med	$1,697,030.31	Refresh
Will any court rule that the 2020 election was fraudulent? Yes refers to: Before 2027	8.4%	4.7%	Med	$17,552.18	Refresh
Who will be the next Supreme Court justice? Top outcome: Amul Thapar	9.0%	7.8%	High	$306,260.87	Refresh
Which Supreme Court justices will resign during Trump's term? Top outcome: Clarence Thomas	50.0%	27.0%	Med	$51,480	Refresh

Expired Markets (11)

Will a court order a tariff refund? Kalshi

Yes

Market Model — —

Will the Supreme Court shield Monsanto from Roundup failure-to-warn lawsuits? Kalshi

Yes

Market Model — —

$7.7K

Will the Supreme Court let Trump fire FTC Commissioners at will? Kalshi

Yes

Market Model 91.0% 93.8%

$38.9K

Will SCOTUS bar counting mail ballots after Election Day? Kalshi

Yes

Market Model — —

$58.9K

Will SCOTUS uphold the federal gun ban for marijuana users? Kalshi

Yes

Market Model — —

$62.6K

Will the Supreme Court uphold transgender sports bans? Kalshi

Yes

Market Model 91.8% 94.8%

$22.1K

Will Elon win his case against OpenAI? Kalshi

Yes

Market Model 21.0% 16.2%

$1.2M

How many justices will vote for Trump in the FTC removal case? Kalshi

Yes

Market Model — —

$51.5K

When will the Supreme Court issue an opinion on the Voting Rights Act? Kalshi

Yes

Market Model — —

$72.3K

How many justices will vote for reversal in Louisiana v. Callais? Kalshi

Yes

Market Model — —

$45.1K

Will Trump's birthright citizenship order come into effect? Kalshi

Yes

Market Model — —

$499.1K

Event	Market	Model	Conf	Volume
Will a court order a tariff refund?	—	—	Low	$0
Will the Supreme Court shield Monsanto from Roundup failure-to-warn lawsuits?	—	—	Med	$7,728.57
Will the Supreme Court let Trump fire FTC Commissioners at will? Yes refers to: Yes	91.0%	93.8%	Med	$38,912.15
Will SCOTUS bar counting mail ballots after Election Day?	—	—	Med	$58,926.74
Will SCOTUS uphold the federal gun ban for marijuana users?	—	—	Med	$62,637.83
Will the Supreme Court uphold transgender sports bans? Yes refers to: Before 2027	91.8%	94.8%	Med	$22,101.7
Will Elon win his case against OpenAI? Yes refers to: Before 2027	21.0%	16.2%	Med	$1,209,226.19
How many justices will vote for Trump in the FTC removal case?	—	—	High	$51,521.68
When will the Supreme Court issue an opinion on the Voting Rights Act?	—	—	High	$72,283.73
How many justices will vote for reversal in Louisiana v. Callais?	—	—	High	$45,065.47
Will Trump's birthright citizenship order come into effect?	—	—	Med	$499,094.81

SCOTUS & courts Markets

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