United Russia (ER)
Market Model 64.0% 61.5%
Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)
Market Model 4.5% 3.2%
World Markets
Active Markets (3)
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? Polymarket
Yes
Market Model 3.9% 3.9%
Brazil Presidential Election Polymarket
Tarcisio de Freitas
Market Model 0.1% 0.1%
Ratinho Júnior
Market Model 0.1% 0.1%
| Event | Market | Model | Conf | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election? Top outcome: United Russia (ER) | 64.0% | 61.5% | Med | $16,701,673.17 | Refresh |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? Yes refers to: Yes | 3.9% | 3.9% | Med | $39,388,370.81 | Refresh |
| Brazil Presidential Election Top outcome: Tarcisio de Freitas | 0.1% | 0.1% | High | $119,092,023.96 | Refresh |
Expired Markets (1)
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by...? Polymarket
Yes
Market Model — —
| Event | Market | Model | Conf | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| — | — | High | $14,190,722.88 |
