Iran leadership change by...? Polymarket
December 31
Market Model 16.0% 14.2%
December 31
Market Model 14.0% 14.2%
Mojtaba Khamenei Markets
Active Markets (2)
September 30
Market Model 2.1% 1.2%
December 31
Market Model 8.0% 4.6%
| Event | Market | Model | Conf | TI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Iran leadership change by...? Top outcome: December 31 | 16.0% | 14.2% | High | 68 | Refresh |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...? Top outcome: September 30 | 2.1% | 1.2% | High | 64 | Refresh |
