Yes
Market Model 7.0% 3.5%
Negotiation Topics Markets
2026 Midterm Election Tracker Live odds for every Senate and Governor race, the balance of power, and an interactive state map.Active Markets (2)
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by...? Polymarket
Yes
Market Model 4.0% 4.5%
| Event | Market | Model | Conf | TI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by...? Yes refers to: December 31 | 7.0% | 3.5% | High | 65 | Refresh |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by...? Yes refers to: December 31 | 4.0% | 4.5% | High | 58 | Refresh |
