December 31
Market Model 7.0% 3.5%
October 31
Market Model 2.0% 1.0%
| Event | Market | Model | Conf | TI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by...? Top outcome: December 31 | 7.0% | 3.5% | High | 62 | Refresh |
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by...? Top outcome: December 31 | 4.0% | 4.5% | High | 50 | Refresh |