US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by…? Polymarket
December 31
Market Model 11.0% 5.5%
October 31
Market Model 2.5% 1.2%
Peace Deal Markets
2026 Midterm Election Tracker Live odds for every Senate and Governor race, the balance of power, and an interactive state map.Active Markets (2)
US announces end of Iranian blockade by...? Polymarket
December 31
Market Model 64.0% 55.0%
October 31
Market Model 41.0% 28.6%
| Event | Market | Model | Conf | TI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by…? Top outcome: December 31 | 11.0% | 5.5% | High | 68 | Refresh |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by...? Top outcome: December 31 | 64.0% | 55.0% | High | 59 | Refresh |
Expired Markets (1)
Yes
Market Model — —
| Event | Market | Model | Conf | TI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| — | — | High | — |
