Before Jan 1, 2027
Market Model 44.0% 38.2%
Before Dec 1, 2026
Market Model 19.0% 17.7%
Departures Markets
2026 Midterm Election Tracker Live odds for every Senate and Governor race, the balance of power, and an interactive state map.Active Markets (1)
| Event | Market | Model | Conf | TI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Howard Lutnick out as Commerce Secretary? Top outcome: Before Jan 1, 2027 | 44.0% | 38.2% | High | 40 | Refresh |
