Yes
Market Model 8.0% 4.6%
Strait of Hormuz Markets
2026 Midterm Election Tracker Live odds for every Senate and Governor race, the balance of power, and an interactive state map.Active Markets (2)
Yes
Market Model 60.0% 56.7%
| Event | Market | Model | Conf | TI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...? Yes refers to: December 31 | 8.0% | 4.6% | High | 66 | Refresh |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes refers to: Yes | 60.0% | 56.7% | Med | 70 | Refresh |
