Elections Markets

Active Markets (22)

Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? Polymarket

Yes

Market Model 30.0% 26.8%

$3.6M Refresh

Texas Senate Election Winner Polymarket

Ken Paxton (R)

Market Model 52.0% 49.0%

James Talarico (D)

Market Model 50.0% 51.0%

$667.7K Refresh

How many Republican Governors after the 2026 midterm elections? Polymarket

28–29

Market Model 3.0% 2.3%

<22

Market Model 18.0% 24.1%

$685.9K Refresh

Quebec General Election Winner Polymarket

PCQ

Market Model 0.1% 0.5%

PVQ

Market Model 0.1% 0.5%

$736.9K Refresh

Who will announce Presidential run before 2027? Polymarket

Gavin Newsom

Market Model 11.0% 3.7%

Donald Trump

Market Model 7.3% 2.8%

$1.0M Refresh

Sachsen-Anhalt Parliamentary Election Winner Polymarket

CDU

Market Model 1.8% 2.1%

SPD

Market Model 0.1% 0.3%

$872.5K Refresh

Sweden Parliamentary Election Winner Polymarket

Sweden Democrats (SD)

Market Model 0.8% 0.8%

Moderate Party (M)

Market Model 0.5% 0.5%

$1.3M Refresh

Alaska Governor Election Winner Polymarket

Mary Peltola

Market Model 1.0% 1.2%

Bernadette Wilson

Market Model 26.0% 27.0%

$1.1M Refresh

Maine Senate Election Winner Polymarket

Troy Jackson (D)

Market Model 69.0% 62.9%

Susan Collins (R)

Market Model 32.0% 37.0%

$1.1M Refresh

Which party wins 2028 US Presidential Election? Polymarket

Republican

Market Model 41.0% 35.7%

Democratic

Market Model 60.0% 64.2%

$2.0M Refresh

Florida Governor Republican Primary Winner Polymarket

James Fishback

Market Model 1.6% 2.1%

Jay Collins

Market Model 0.3% 0.5%

$2.6M Refresh

Republican Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? Polymarket

Market Model 4.1% 3.0%

Market Model 12.7% 11.7%

$2.8M Refresh

Russia Parliamentary Election Winner Polymarket

United Russia (ER)

Market Model 97.9% 96.7%

A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP)

Market Model 0.1% 0.4%

$2.9M Refresh

Berlin State Election Winner Polymarket

AfD

Market Model 17.1% 20.0%

SPD

Market Model 4.3% 7.5%

$3.2M Refresh

Next Prime Minister of Romania? Polymarket

Sorin Grindeanu

Market Model 23.0% 20.1%

Eugen Tomac

Market Model 1.8% 0.9%

$3.3M Refresh

Next Prime Minister of Sweden Polymarket

Jimmie Åkesson

Market Model 1.7% 2.0%

Nooshi Dadgostar

Market Model 0.2% 0.2%

$3.4M Refresh

Which party will win the Senate in 2026? Polymarket

Democratic Party

Market Model 46.0% 41.6%

Republican Party

Market Model 55.0% 58.4%

$3.8M Refresh

Clacton by-election Winner Polymarket

Count Binface

Market Model 1.2% 1.2%

Nigel Farage

Market Model 98.7% 97.8%

$3.8M Refresh

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place Polymarket

Renan Santos

Market Model 6.0% 6.8%

Fernando Haddad

Market Model 0.2% 0.2%

$4.4M Refresh

Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms Polymarket

Democrats Sweep

Market Model 46.0% 38.8%

Republicans Sweep

Market Model 13.0% 9.0%

$9.5M Refresh

Which party will win the House in 2026? Polymarket

Democratic Party

Market Model 87.0% 88.4%

Republican Party

Market Model 14.0% 11.6%

$9.1M Refresh

Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election? Polymarket

United Russia (ER)

Market Model 64.0% 61.5%

Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)

Market Model 4.5% 3.2%

$16.7M Refresh

Event	Market	Model	Conf	Volume
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? Yes refers to: Yes	30.0%	26.8%	Med	$3,617,972.37	Refresh
Texas Senate Election Winner Top outcome: Ken Paxton (R)	52.0%	49.0%	High	$667,716.46	Refresh
How many Republican Governors after the 2026 midterm elections? Top outcome: 28–29	3.0%	2.3%	High	$685,946.43	Refresh
Quebec General Election Winner Top outcome: PCQ	0.1%	0.5%	High	$736,939.3	Refresh
Who will announce Presidential run before 2027? Top outcome: Gavin Newsom	11.0%	3.7%	Med	$1,023,193.88	Refresh
Sachsen-Anhalt Parliamentary Election Winner Top outcome: CDU	1.8%	2.1%	Med	$872,456.37	Refresh
Sweden Parliamentary Election Winner Top outcome: Sweden Democrats (SD)	0.8%	0.8%	High	$1,280,539.09	Refresh
Alaska Governor Election Winner Top outcome: Mary Peltola	1.0%	1.2%	High	$1,103,514.18	Refresh
Maine Senate Election Winner Top outcome: Troy Jackson (D)	69.0%	62.9%	High	$1,124,761.75	Refresh
Which party wins 2028 US Presidential Election? Top outcome: Republican	41.0%	35.7%	High	$1,987,446.58	Refresh
Florida Governor Republican Primary Winner Top outcome: James Fishback	1.6%	2.1%	High	$2,609,875.83	Refresh
Republican Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? Top outcome: 54	4.1%	3.0%	High	$2,789,166.08	Refresh
Russia Parliamentary Election Winner Top outcome: United Russia (ER)	97.9%	96.7%	High	$2,912,290.84	Refresh
Berlin State Election Winner Top outcome: AfD	17.1%	20.0%	High	$3,166,713.69	Refresh
Next Prime Minister of Romania? Top outcome: Sorin Grindeanu	23.0%	20.1%	High	$3,276,891.2	Refresh
Next Prime Minister of Sweden Top outcome: Jimmie Åkesson	1.7%	2.0%	High	$3,410,863.95	Refresh
Which party will win the Senate in 2026? Top outcome: Democratic Party	46.0%	41.6%	High	$3,754,539.68	Refresh
Clacton by-election Winner Top outcome: Count Binface	1.2%	1.2%	High	$3,817,175.21	Refresh
Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place Top outcome: Renan Santos	6.0%	6.8%	High	$4,427,416.33	Refresh
Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms Top outcome: Democrats Sweep	46.0%	38.8%	Med	$9,458,396.97	Refresh
Which party will win the House in 2026? Top outcome: Democratic Party	87.0%	88.4%	High	$9,060,714.17	Refresh
Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election? Top outcome: United Russia (ER)	64.0%	61.5%	Med	$16,701,673.17	Refresh