Yes
Market Model 17.0% 13.1%
| Event | Market | Model | Conf | TI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will Iran hold a presidential election? Yes refers to: Before Jan 1, 2027 | 17.0% | 13.1% | High | 79 | Refresh |
Will Iran become a democracy in 2026? Yes refers to: Yes | 8.0% | 5.1% | Med | 72 | Refresh |
| Event | Market | Model | Conf | TI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| — | — | High | — |