Shen Bo-yang
Market Model 23.0% 19.8%
Chiang Wan-an
Market Model 81.0% 75.4%
Local Markets
2026 Midterm Election Tracker Live odds for every Senate and Governor race, the balance of power, and an interactive state map.Active Markets (2)
Yes
Market Model 28.0% 19.4%
| Event | Market | Model | Conf | TI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Taipei mayoral election winner? Top outcome: Shen Bo-yang | 23.0% | 19.8% | High | 85 | Refresh |
| Will a ballot initiative on California secession qualify for a vote before 2030? Yes refers to: Before 2030 | 28.0% | 19.4% | Med | 66 | Refresh |
