Keiko Fujimori
Market Model 72.0% 60.3%
Roberto Sánchez
Market Model 29.0% 39.7%
Peru Markets
2026 Midterm Election Tracker Live odds for every Senate and Governor race, the balance of power, and an interactive state map.Expired Markets (4)
Keiko Fujimori vs. Rafael López Aliaga
Market Model 4.0% 3.2%
Keiko Fujimori vs. Roberto Sánchez Palomino
Market Model 98.0% 85.7%
Rafael López Aliaga
Market Model 2.1% 2.9%
Roberto Sánchez Palomino
Market Model 95.8% 93.7%
Keiko Fujimori
Market Model 96.4% 89.4%
Carlos Álvarez
Market Model 0.1% 2.8%
| Event | Market | Model | Conf | TI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peru Presidential election winner? Top outcome: Keiko Fujimori | 72.0% | 60.3% | High | — | |
| Peru presidential election matchup Top outcome: Keiko Fujimori vs. Rafael López Aliaga | 4.0% | 3.2% | High | — | |
| Peru presidential election: first round second place? Top outcome: Rafael López Aliaga | 2.1% | 2.9% | High | — | |
| Peru presidential election: first round winner? Top outcome: Keiko Fujimori | 96.4% | 89.4% | High | — |
