Los Angeles Mayoral Election Polymarket
Spencer Pratt
Market Model 0.0% 32.8%
Lindsey Horvath
Market Model 0.0% 32.8%
US Election Markets
Active Markets (21)
California Governor Election Winner Polymarket
Tom Steyer
Market Model 0.1% 0.0%
Steve Hilton
Market Model 4.8% 3.0%
Presidential Election Winner 2028 Polymarket
LeBron James
Market Model 0.1% 0.4%
Tim Walz
Market Model 0.1% 40.0%
Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 Polymarket
Byron Donalds
Market Model 0.4% 0.5%
Mike Pence
Market Model 0.2% 50.0%
Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 Polymarket
Oprah Winfrey
Market Model 0.3% 0.4%
Bernie Sanders
Market Model 0.4% 0.5%
Iowa Senate Election Winner Polymarket
Ashley Hinson (R)
Market Model 60.0% 64.2%
Josh Turek (D)
Market Model 39.0% 35.7%
220-224
Market Model 3.9% 2.8%
205-209
Market Model 11.1% 13.6%
Wisconsin Governor Election Winner Polymarket
Tom Tiffany (R)
Market Model 23.0% 27.9%
David Crowley (D)
Market Model 78.0% 72.1%
No Shutdown & Democratic Party
Market Model 0.0% 0.0%
No Shutdown & Republican Party
Market Model 0.0% 0.0%
ACA credits extended & House Winner 2026? Polymarket
Extended & Democratic Party
Market Model 0.0% 0.0%
Extended & Republican Party
Market Model 0.0% 0.0%
Alaska Senate Election Winner Polymarket
Mary Peltola
Market Model 57.0% 50.9%
Dan Sullivan
Market Model 42.0% 48.8%
Michigan Senate Election Winner Polymarket
Abdul El-Sayed (D)
Market Model 59.0% 51.8%
Mike Rogers (R)
Market Model 40.0% 48.2%
Texas Senate Election Winner Polymarket
Ken Paxton (R)
Market Model 52.0% 49.0%
James Talarico (D)
Market Model 50.0% 51.0%
28–29
Market Model 3.0% 2.3%
<22
Market Model 18.0% 24.1%
Alaska Governor Election Winner Polymarket
Mary Peltola
Market Model 1.0% 1.2%
Bernadette Wilson
Market Model 26.0% 27.0%
Maine Senate Election Winner Polymarket
Troy Jackson (D)
Market Model 69.0% 62.9%
Susan Collins (R)
Market Model 32.0% 37.0%
Republican
Market Model 41.0% 35.7%
Democratic
Market Model 60.0% 64.2%
54
Market Model 4.1% 3.0%
52
Market Model 12.7% 11.7%
Which party will win the Senate in 2026? Polymarket
Democratic Party
Market Model 46.0% 41.6%
Republican Party
Market Model 55.0% 58.4%
Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms Polymarket
Democrats Sweep
Market Model 46.0% 38.8%
Republicans Sweep
Market Model 13.0% 9.0%
Which party will win the House in 2026? Polymarket
Democratic Party
Market Model 87.0% 88.4%
Republican Party
Market Model 14.0% 11.6%
| Event | Market | Model | Conf | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Los Angeles Mayoral Election Top outcome: Spencer Pratt | 0.0% | 32.8% | High | $13,496,855.04 | Refresh |
| California Governor Election Winner Top outcome: Tom Steyer | 0.1% | 0.0% | High | $40,895,404.47 | Refresh |
| Presidential Election Winner 2028 Top outcome: LeBron James | 0.1% | 0.4% | Med | $696,135,851.19 | Refresh |
| Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 Top outcome: Byron Donalds | 0.4% | 0.5% | Med | $693,297,468.38 | Refresh |
| Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 Top outcome: Oprah Winfrey | 0.3% | 0.4% | High | $1,268,367,681.48 | Refresh |
| Iowa Senate Election Winner Top outcome: Ashley Hinson (R) | 60.0% | 64.2% | High | $206,044.92 | Refresh |
| Republican House seats after the 2026 midterm elections? Top outcome: 220-224 | 3.9% | 2.8% | High | $286,501.97 | Refresh |
| Wisconsin Governor Election Winner Top outcome: Tom Tiffany (R) | 23.0% | 27.9% | High | $291,599.16 | Refresh |
| Another US government shutdown & House Winner 2026? Top outcome: No Shutdown & Democratic Party | 0.0% | 0.0% | High | $332,396.98 | Refresh |
| ACA credits extended & House Winner 2026? Top outcome: Extended & Democratic Party | 0.0% | 0.0% | High | $404,572.46 | Refresh |
| Alaska Senate Election Winner Top outcome: Mary Peltola | 57.0% | 50.9% | High | $407,832.34 | Refresh |
| Michigan Senate Election Winner Top outcome: Abdul El-Sayed (D) | 59.0% | 51.8% | High | $467,638.71 | Refresh |
| Texas Senate Election Winner Top outcome: Ken Paxton (R) | 52.0% | 49.0% | High | $667,716.46 | Refresh |
| How many Republican Governors after the 2026 midterm elections? Top outcome: 28–29 | 3.0% | 2.3% | High | $685,946.43 | Refresh |
| Alaska Governor Election Winner Top outcome: Mary Peltola | 1.0% | 1.2% | High | $1,103,514.18 | Refresh |
| Maine Senate Election Winner Top outcome: Troy Jackson (D) | 69.0% | 62.9% | High | $1,124,761.75 | Refresh |
| Which party wins 2028 US Presidential Election? Top outcome: Republican | 41.0% | 35.7% | High | $1,987,446.58 | Refresh |
| Republican Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? Top outcome: 54 | 4.1% | 3.0% | High | $2,789,166.08 | Refresh |
| Which party will win the Senate in 2026? Top outcome: Democratic Party | 46.0% | 41.6% | High | $3,754,539.68 | Refresh |
| Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms Top outcome: Democrats Sweep | 46.0% | 38.8% | Med | $9,458,396.97 | Refresh |
| Which party will win the House in 2026? Top outcome: Democratic Party | 87.0% | 88.4% | High | $9,060,714.17 | Refresh |
Expired Markets (12)
Florida Democratic Senate Primary Winner Polymarket
Yes
Market Model — —
Yes
Market Model — —
Yes
Market Model — —
Yes
Market Model — —
Yes
Market Model — —
FL-06 Republican Primary Winner Polymarket
Yes
Market Model — —
Wyoming Governor Republican Primary Winner Polymarket
Yes
Market Model — —
Oklahoma Governor Republican Primary Winner Polymarket
Yes
Market Model — —
Yes
Market Model — —
Yes
Market Model — —
Florida Governor Republican Primary Winner Polymarket
Yes
Market Model — —
Florida Senate Election Winner Polymarket
Republican
Market Model 89.0% 91.3%
Democrat
Market Model 10.0% 8.7%
| Event | Market | Model | Conf | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| — | — | High | $206,446.12 | ||
| — | — | High | $213,124.59 | ||
| — | — | High | $212,966.48 | ||
| — | — | High | $216,346.4 | ||
| — | — | Med | $263,509.45 | ||
| — | — | High | $269,736.13 | ||
| — | — | High | $286,476.91 | ||
| — | — | High | $450,678.15 | ||
| — | — | High | $3,666.98 | ||
| — | — | Med | $782,938.3 | ||
| — | — | High | $2,609,875.83 | ||
| Florida Senate Election Winner Top outcome: Republican | 89.0% | 91.3% | High | $61,057.64 |
