Prohibit Government Closure of Places of Worship During Emergencies Amendment
Market Model 3.0% 1.6%
Prohibit Partial Veto to Increase Tax or Fee Amendment
Market Model 64.0% 65.1%
Other US Elections Markets
2026 Midterm Election Tracker Live odds for every Senate and Governor race, the balance of power, and an interactive state map.Active Markets (15)
Democratic party
Market Model 89.0% 87.1%
Republican party
Market Model 12.0% 12.9%
Maine State Senate winner? Kalshi
Republican party
Market Model 7.0% 7.0%
Democratic party
Market Model 93.0% 93.0%
Fiona Ma
Market Model 95.8% 97.4%
Gloria Romero
Market Model 4.2% 2.6%
Republican party
Market Model 38.0% 40.3%
Democratic party
Market Model 66.0% 59.7%
Colorado State House winner? Kalshi
Democratic party
Market Model 98.0% 97.8%
Republican party
Market Model 3.0% 2.2%
LA-06
Market Model 3.0% 1.0%
LA-05
Market Model 5.0% 1.8%
Jon Echols
Market Model 98.3% 96.6%
Nick Coffey
Market Model 4.7% 3.4%
Historical Center & Cultural Grants Bond
Market Model 82.0% 88.3%
Higher Education Bond
Market Model 22.0% 23.5%
Drug Legalization Authority Amendment
Market Model 4.0% 1.4%
English as Official State Language Amendment
Market Model 94.0% 92.1%
John Kulewicz
Market Model 17.0% 14.6%
Keith Faber
Market Model 83.0% 85.4%
Virginia Question 1
Market Model 90.0% 86.8%
Missouri Amendment 3
Market Model 95.0% 93.4%
Georgia State House winner? Kalshi
Democratic party
Market Model 98.0% 48.1%
Republican party
Market Model 65.0% 51.9%
Los Angeles Mayor winner? Kalshi
Nithya Raman
Market Model 38.0% 34.1%
Karen Bass
Market Model 62.0% 65.9%
Yes
Market Model 32.0% 39.3%
| Event | Market | Model | Conf | TI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Which ballot measures will pass in Wisconsin? Top outcome: Prohibit Government Closure of Places of Worship During Emergencies Amendment | 3.0% | 1.6% | Med | 63 | Refresh |
| Minnesota State Senate winner? Top outcome: Democratic party | 89.0% | 87.1% | Med | 93 | Refresh |
| Maine State Senate winner? Top outcome: Republican party | 7.0% | 7.0% | High | 82 | Refresh |
| California Lieutenant Governor winner? Top outcome: Fiona Ma | 95.8% | 97.4% | High | 91 | Refresh |
| Wisconsin State Assembly winner? Top outcome: Republican party | 38.0% | 40.3% | High | 81 | Refresh |
| Colorado State House winner? Top outcome: Democratic party | 98.0% | 97.8% | High | 88 | Refresh |
| Louisiana: Which House races will be won outright? Top outcome: LA-06 | 3.0% | 1.0% | Med | 73 | Refresh |
| Oklahoma Attorney General winner? Top outcome: Jon Echols | 98.3% | 96.6% | Med | 74 | Refresh |
| Which ballot measures will pass in Rhode Island? Top outcome: Historical Center & Cultural Grants Bond | 82.0% | 88.3% | Med | 66 | Refresh |
| Which ballot measures will pass in Idaho? Top outcome: Drug Legalization Authority Amendment | 4.0% | 1.4% | Med | — | Refresh |
| Ohio Attorney General winner? Top outcome: John Kulewicz | 17.0% | 14.6% | High | 74 | Refresh |
| Which abortion-related measures will pass in 2026? Top outcome: Virginia Question 1 | 90.0% | 86.8% | Med | — | Refresh |
| Georgia State House winner? Top outcome: Democratic party | 98.0% | 48.1% | High | 88 | Refresh |
| Los Angeles Mayor winner? Top outcome: Nithya Raman | 38.0% | 34.1% | High | 88 | Refresh |
| Will the California billionaire wealth tax pass? Yes refers to: In 2026 | 32.0% | 39.3% | Med | 75 | Refresh |
