Republican party
Market Model 83.0% 49.7%
Democratic party
Market Model 84.0% 50.3%
Other US Elections Markets
Active Markets (7)
John Kulewicz
Market Model 17.0% 14.6%
Keith Faber
Market Model 83.0% 85.4%
Virginia Question 1
Market Model 90.0% 86.8%
Missouri Amendment 3
Market Model 95.0% 93.4%
Georgia State House winner? Kalshi
Democratic party
Market Model 98.0% 48.1%
Republican party
Market Model 65.0% 51.9%
Maine State Senate winner? Kalshi
Republican party
Market Model 88.0% 66.6%
Democratic party
Market Model 24.0% 33.4%
Los Angeles Mayor winner? Kalshi
Nithya Raman
Market Model 38.0% 34.1%
Karen Bass
Market Model 62.0% 65.9%
Yes
Market Model 32.0% 39.3%
| Event | Market | Model | Conf | TI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Minnesota State Senate winner? Top outcome: Republican party | 83.0% | 49.7% | Med | 78 | Refresh |
| Ohio Attorney General winner? Top outcome: John Kulewicz | 17.0% | 14.6% | High | 71 | Refresh |
| Which abortion-related measures will pass in 2026? Top outcome: Virginia Question 1 | 90.0% | 86.8% | Med | 60 | Refresh |
| Georgia State House winner? Top outcome: Democratic party | 98.0% | 48.1% | High | 76 | Refresh |
| Maine State Senate winner? Top outcome: Republican party | 88.0% | 66.6% | High | 72 | Refresh |
| Los Angeles Mayor winner? Top outcome: Nithya Raman | 38.0% | 34.1% | High | 90 | Refresh |
| Will the California billionaire wealth tax pass? Yes refers to: In 2026 | 32.0% | 39.3% | Med | 74 | Refresh |
