28–29
Market Model 3.0% 2.3%
<22
Market Model 18.0% 24.1%
United States Markets
Active Markets (8)
54
Market Model 4.1% 3.0%
52
Market Model 12.7% 11.7%
Which party will win the Senate in 2026? Polymarket
Democratic Party
Market Model 46.0% 41.6%
Republican Party
Market Model 55.0% 58.4%
Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms Polymarket
Democrats Sweep
Market Model 46.0% 38.8%
Republicans Sweep
Market Model 13.0% 9.0%
Which party will win the House in 2026? Polymarket
Democratic Party
Market Model 87.0% 88.4%
Republican Party
Market Model 14.0% 11.6%
Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 Polymarket
Byron Donalds
Market Model 0.6% 0.7%
Mike Pence
Market Model 0.3% 0.5%
Presidential Election Winner 2028 Polymarket
LeBron James
Market Model 0.1% 0.5%
Tim Walz
Market Model 0.1% 50.0%
Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 Polymarket
Oprah Winfrey
Market Model 0.5% 0.5%
Bernie Sanders
Market Model 0.7% 0.8%
| Event | Market | Model | Conf | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| How many Republican Governors after the 2026 midterm elections? Top outcome: 28–29 | 3.0% | 2.3% | High | $685,946.43 | Refresh |
| Republican Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? Top outcome: 54 | 4.1% | 3.0% | High | $2,789,166.08 | Refresh |
| Which party will win the Senate in 2026? Top outcome: Democratic Party | 46.0% | 41.6% | High | $3,754,539.68 | Refresh |
| Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms Top outcome: Democrats Sweep | 46.0% | 38.8% | Med | $9,458,396.97 | Refresh |
| Which party will win the House in 2026? Top outcome: Democratic Party | 87.0% | 88.4% | High | $9,060,714.17 | Refresh |
| Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 Top outcome: Byron Donalds | 0.6% | 0.7% | High | $684,716,669.27 | Refresh |
| Presidential Election Winner 2028 Top outcome: LeBron James | 0.1% | 0.5% | Med | $676,765,811.64 | Refresh |
| Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 Top outcome: Oprah Winfrey | 0.5% | 0.5% | High | $1,251,349,692.87 | Refresh |
