Restore Britain party
Market Model 13.0% 0.5%
Reform party
Market Model 47.0% 40.7%
Foreign Elections Markets
2026 Midterm Election Tracker Live odds for every Senate and Governor race, the balance of power, and an interactive state map.Active Markets (2)
Chen Jining
Market Model 1.0% 1.0%
Ding Xuexiang
Market Model 21.0% 23.1%
| Event | Market | Model | Conf | TI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Which party will win the next UK general election? Top outcome: Restore Britain party | 13.0% | 0.5% | High | 76 | Refresh |
| Who will be named as Xi Jinping's successor? Top outcome: Chen Jining | 1.0% | 1.0% | High | 55 | Refresh |
Expired Markets (3)
Yes
Market Model 41.0% 48.9%
Plaid Cymru
Market Model 86.0% 67.1%
Reform
Market Model 3.6% 23.6%
SNP
Market Model 99.9% 94.7%
Conservatives
Market Model 0.1% 1.7%
| Event | Market | Model | Conf | TI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Switzerland 10 million population cap referendum pass? Yes refers to: In 2026 | 41.0% | 48.9% | Med | — | |
| Who will win the 2026 Welsh Parliament election? Top outcome: Plaid Cymru | 86.0% | 67.1% | High | — | |
| Who will win the 2026 Scottish Parliament election? Top outcome: SNP | 99.9% | 94.7% | High | — |
