United Russia (ER)
Market Model 70.0% 60.6%
Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)
Market Model 4.9% 6.8%
World Elections Markets
Active Markets (14)
Brazil Presidential Election Polymarket
Tarcisio de Freitas
Market Model 0.1% 0.1%
Renan Santos
Market Model 1.7% 2.0%
Presidential Election Winner 2028 Polymarket
LeBron James
Market Model 0.1% 0.4%
Tim Walz
Market Model 0.1% 40.0%
Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 Polymarket
Byron Donalds
Market Model 0.4% 0.5%
Mike Pence
Market Model 0.2% 50.0%
Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 Polymarket
Oprah Winfrey
Market Model 0.3% 0.4%
Bernie Sanders
Market Model 0.4% 0.5%
Bulgaria Presidential Election Polymarket
Iliana Iotova
Market Model 74.0% 77.3%
Rosen Zhelyazkov
Market Model 0.3% 0.4%
SPD
Market Model 16.0% 14.8%
AfD
Market Model 85.0% 84.6%
Quebec General Election Winner Polymarket
PCQ
Market Model 0.1% 0.5%
PVQ
Market Model 0.1% 0.5%
Sweden Parliamentary Election Winner Polymarket
Sweden Democrats (SD)
Market Model 0.8% 0.8%
Moderate Party (M)
Market Model 0.5% 0.5%
Russia Parliamentary Election Winner Polymarket
United Russia (ER)
Market Model 97.9% 96.7%
A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP)
Market Model 0.1% 0.4%
Berlin State Election Winner Polymarket
AfD
Market Model 17.1% 20.0%
SPD
Market Model 4.3% 7.5%
Next Prime Minister of Sweden Polymarket
Jimmie Åkesson
Market Model 1.7% 2.0%
Nooshi Dadgostar
Market Model 0.2% 0.2%
Which party will win the Senate in 2026? Polymarket
Democratic Party
Market Model 46.0% 41.6%
Republican Party
Market Model 55.0% 58.4%
Which party will win the House in 2026? Polymarket
Democratic Party
Market Model 87.0% 88.4%
Republican Party
Market Model 14.0% 11.6%
| Event | Market | Model | Conf | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election? Top outcome: United Russia (ER) | 70.0% | 60.6% | High | $24,256,661.21 | Refresh |
| Brazil Presidential Election Top outcome: Tarcisio de Freitas | 0.1% | 0.1% | High | $140,378,330.29 | Refresh |
| Presidential Election Winner 2028 Top outcome: LeBron James | 0.1% | 0.4% | Med | $696,135,851.19 | Refresh |
| Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 Top outcome: Byron Donalds | 0.4% | 0.5% | Med | $693,297,468.38 | Refresh |
| Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 Top outcome: Oprah Winfrey | 0.3% | 0.4% | High | $1,268,367,681.48 | Refresh |
| Bulgaria Presidential Election Top outcome: Iliana Iotova | 74.0% | 77.3% | High | $332,872.45 | Refresh |
| Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election Winner Top outcome: SPD | 16.0% | 14.8% | High | $456,070.41 | Refresh |
| Quebec General Election Winner Top outcome: PCQ | 0.1% | 0.5% | High | $736,939.3 | Refresh |
| Sweden Parliamentary Election Winner Top outcome: Sweden Democrats (SD) | 0.8% | 0.8% | High | $1,280,539.09 | Refresh |
| Russia Parliamentary Election Winner Top outcome: United Russia (ER) | 97.9% | 96.7% | High | $2,912,290.84 | Refresh |
| Berlin State Election Winner Top outcome: AfD | 17.1% | 20.0% | High | $3,166,713.69 | Refresh |
| Next Prime Minister of Sweden Top outcome: Jimmie Åkesson | 1.7% | 2.0% | High | $3,410,863.95 | Refresh |
| Which party will win the Senate in 2026? Top outcome: Democratic Party | 46.0% | 41.6% | High | $3,754,539.68 | Refresh |
| Which party will win the House in 2026? Top outcome: Democratic Party | 87.0% | 88.4% | High | $9,060,714.17 | Refresh |
Expired Markets (2)
Lebanon Parliamentary Election Winner Polymarket
Yes
Market Model — —
Sachsen-Anhalt Parliamentary Election Winner Polymarket
Yes
Market Model — —
| Event | Market | Model | Conf | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| — | — | High | $663,378.31 | ||
| — | — | Med | $872,456.37 |
