Next French Presidential Election Polymarket
Mathilde Panot
Market Model 0.1% 0.5%
François Bayrou
Market Model 0.1% 0.5%
World Markets
2026 Midterm Election Tracker Live odds for every Senate and Governor race, the balance of power, and an interactive state map.Active Markets (10)
Brazil Presidential Election Polymarket
Tarcisio de Freitas
Market Model 0.1% 0.1%
Renan Santos
Market Model 1.7% 2.0%
Next Brazil Senate Election: Most Seats Won Polymarket
PL
Market Model 77.0% 80.7%
MDB
Market Model 16.3% 16.9%
Renan Santos Victory
Market Model 0.9% 0.9%
Lula da Silva 10-15%
Market Model 26.1% 15.2%
Bulgaria Presidential Election Polymarket
Iliana Iotova
Market Model 74.0% 77.3%
Rosen Zhelyazkov
Market Model 0.3% 0.4%
Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva
Market Model 96.1% 95.6%
Tarcisio de Frietas
Market Model 0.5% 0.2%
Renan Santos
Market Model 52.0% 50.4%
Ratinho Júnior
Market Model 0.1% 0.1%
Quebec General Election Winner Polymarket
PCQ
Market Model 0.1% 0.5%
PVQ
Market Model 0.1% 0.5%
French election called by...? Polymarket
Yes
Market Model 13.0% 7.5%
Renan Santos
Market Model 6.0% 6.8%
Fernando Haddad
Market Model 0.2% 0.2%
| Event | Market | Model | Conf | TI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Next French Presidential Election Top outcome: Mathilde Panot | 0.1% | 0.5% | High | 77 | Refresh |
| Brazil Presidential Election Top outcome: Tarcisio de Freitas | 0.1% | 0.1% | High | 81 | Refresh |
| Next Brazil Senate Election: Most Seats Won Top outcome: PL | 77.0% | 80.7% | High | 77 | Refresh |
| Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory Top outcome: Renan Santos Victory | 0.9% | 0.9% | High | 77 | Refresh |
| Bulgaria Presidential Election Top outcome: Iliana Iotova | 74.0% | 77.3% | High | 78 | Refresh |
| Which candidates will advance to Brazil's presidential runoff? Top outcome: Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva | 96.1% | 95.6% | Med | 74 | Refresh |
| Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 3rd Place Top outcome: Renan Santos | 52.0% | 50.4% | Med | 80 | Refresh |
| Quebec General Election Winner Top outcome: PCQ | 0.1% | 0.5% | High | 79 | Refresh |
| French election called by...? Yes refers to: December 31, 2026 | 13.0% | 7.5% | High | 44 | Refresh |
| Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place Top outcome: Renan Santos | 6.0% | 6.8% | High | 81 | Refresh |
Expired Markets (6)
Yes
Market Model — —
Yes
Market Model — —
Sachsen-Anhalt Parliamentary Election Winner Polymarket
Yes
Market Model — —
Russia Parliamentary Election Winner Polymarket
Yes
Market Model — —
Berlin State Election Winner Polymarket
Yes
Market Model — —
Next Prime Minister of Sweden Polymarket
Yes
Market Model — —
| Event | Market | Model | Conf | TI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| — | — | High | — | ||
| — | — | High | 80 | ||
| — | — | Med | — | ||
| — | — | High | — | ||
| — | — | High | 74 | ||
| — | — | High | 69 |
