United Russia (ER)
Market Model 70.0% 60.6%
Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)
Market Model 4.9% 6.8%
World Markets
Active Markets (15)
Next French Presidential Election Polymarket
Mathilde Panot
Market Model 0.1% 0.5%
François Bayrou
Market Model 0.1% 0.5%
Brazil Presidential Election Polymarket
Tarcisio de Freitas
Market Model 0.1% 0.1%
Renan Santos
Market Model 1.7% 2.0%
Next Brazil Senate Election: Most Seats Won Polymarket
PL
Market Model 77.0% 80.7%
MDB
Market Model 16.3% 16.9%
Renan Santos Victory
Market Model 0.9% 0.9%
Lula da Silva 10-15%
Market Model 26.1% 15.2%
Bulgaria Presidential Election Polymarket
Iliana Iotova
Market Model 74.0% 77.3%
Rosen Zhelyazkov
Market Model 0.3% 0.4%
SPD
Market Model 16.0% 14.8%
AfD
Market Model 85.0% 84.6%
Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva
Market Model 96.1% 95.6%
Tarcisio de Frietas
Market Model 0.5% 0.2%
Renan Santos
Market Model 52.0% 50.4%
Ratinho Júnior
Market Model 0.1% 0.1%
Quebec General Election Winner Polymarket
PCQ
Market Model 0.1% 0.5%
PVQ
Market Model 0.1% 0.5%
French election called by...? Polymarket
Yes
Market Model 13.0% 7.5%
Russia Parliamentary Election Winner Polymarket
United Russia (ER)
Market Model 97.9% 96.7%
A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP)
Market Model 0.1% 0.4%
Berlin State Election Winner Polymarket
AfD
Market Model 17.1% 20.0%
SPD
Market Model 4.3% 7.5%
Next Prime Minister of Sweden Polymarket
Jimmie Åkesson
Market Model 1.7% 2.0%
Nooshi Dadgostar
Market Model 0.2% 0.2%
Renan Santos
Market Model 6.0% 6.8%
Fernando Haddad
Market Model 0.2% 0.2%
| Event | Market | Model | Conf | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election? Top outcome: United Russia (ER) | 70.0% | 60.6% | High | $24,256,661.21 | Refresh |
| Next French Presidential Election Top outcome: Mathilde Panot | 0.1% | 0.5% | High | $123,852,609.64 | Refresh |
| Brazil Presidential Election Top outcome: Tarcisio de Freitas | 0.1% | 0.1% | High | $140,378,330.29 | Refresh |
| Next Brazil Senate Election: Most Seats Won Top outcome: PL | 77.0% | 80.7% | High | $293,650.06 | Refresh |
| Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory Top outcome: Renan Santos Victory | 0.9% | 0.9% | High | $323,380.99 | Refresh |
| Bulgaria Presidential Election Top outcome: Iliana Iotova | 74.0% | 77.3% | High | $332,872.45 | Refresh |
| Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election Winner Top outcome: SPD | 16.0% | 14.8% | High | $456,070.41 | Refresh |
| Which candidates will advance to Brazil's presidential runoff? Top outcome: Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva | 96.1% | 95.6% | Med | $480,108.39 | Refresh |
| Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 3rd Place Top outcome: Renan Santos | 52.0% | 50.4% | Med | $549,272.03 | Refresh |
| Quebec General Election Winner Top outcome: PCQ | 0.1% | 0.5% | High | $736,939.3 | Refresh |
| French election called by...? Yes refers to: December 31, 2026 | 13.0% | 7.5% | High | $1,090,565.88 | Refresh |
| Russia Parliamentary Election Winner Top outcome: United Russia (ER) | 97.9% | 96.7% | High | $2,912,290.84 | Refresh |
| Berlin State Election Winner Top outcome: AfD | 17.1% | 20.0% | High | $3,166,713.69 | Refresh |
| Next Prime Minister of Sweden Top outcome: Jimmie Åkesson | 1.7% | 2.0% | High | $3,410,863.95 | Refresh |
| Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place Top outcome: Renan Santos | 6.0% | 6.8% | High | $4,427,416.33 | Refresh |
Expired Markets (1)
Sachsen-Anhalt Parliamentary Election Winner Polymarket
Yes
Market Model — —
| Event | Market | Model | Conf | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| — | — | Med | $872,456.37 |
