Volt
Market Model 73.0% 70.0%
FDP
Market Model 13.0% 10.0%
International Markets
2026 Midterm Election Tracker Live odds for every Senate and Governor race, the balance of power, and an interactive state map.Active Markets (12)
CDU
Market Model 99.0% 87.7%
AfD
Market Model 2.0% 2.1%
At least 20%
Market Model 4.0% 12.0%
At least 26%
Market Model 4.0% 4.0%
Delcy Rodríguez
Market Model 15.0% 9.9%
María Corina Machado
Market Model 2.4% 0.8%
Yes
Market Model 17.0% 13.1%
Yes
Market Model 22.0% 10.9%
Yes
Market Model 14.0% 10.6%
Hungary
Market Model 4.6% 1.6%
Italy
Market Model 4.0% 1.4%
Hungary
Market Model 3.0% 1.2%
Greece
Market Model 4.0% 0.9%
Chen Jining
Market Model 1.0% 1.0%
Ding Xuexiang
Market Model 21.0% 23.1%
Who will the next Pope be? Kalshi
Pietro Parolin
Market Model 8.2% 22.3%
Peter Erdo
Market Model 3.0% 11.2%
Naftali Bennett
Market Model 31.0% 30.6%
Israel Katz
Market Model 14.0% 13.8%
Expired Markets (4)
At least 20%
Market Model 4.0% 1.0%
At least 23%
Market Model 3.0% 1.0%
At least 13%
Market Model 98.0% 99.9%
At least 19%
Market Model 98.0% 99.9%
Yes
Market Model — —
Rupert Lowe
Market Model 6.0% 6.0%
Nigel Farage
Market Model 10.0% 16.4%
| Event | Market | Model | Conf | TI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Swedish general election: Sweden Democrats vote percent Top outcome: At least 20% | 4.0% | 1.0% | High | — | |
| Swedish general election: Moderate Party vote percent Top outcome: At least 13% | 98.0% | 99.9% | High | — | |
| — | — | High | — | ||
| Who will be the next Prime Minister of the UK? Top outcome: Rupert Lowe | 6.0% | 6.0% | High | — |
