Delcy Rodríguez
Market Model 23.0% 24.2%
María Corina Machado
Market Model 6.1% 2.3%
International Markets
Active Markets (10)
Yes
Market Model 17.0% 13.1%
Yes
Market Model 22.0% 10.9%
Yes
Market Model 14.0% 10.6%
Hungary
Market Model 4.6% 1.6%
Italy
Market Model 4.0% 1.4%
Hungary
Market Model 3.0% 1.2%
Greece
Market Model 4.0% 0.9%
Chen Jining
Market Model 1.0% 1.0%
Ding Xuexiang
Market Model 21.0% 23.1%
Rupert Lowe
Market Model 6.0% 6.0%
Nigel Farage
Market Model 10.0% 16.4%
Pietro Parolin
Market Model 8.2% 22.3%
Peter Erdo
Market Model 3.0% 11.2%
Naftali Bennett
Market Model 31.0% 30.6%
Israel Katz
Market Model 14.0% 13.8%
| Event | Market | Model | Conf | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Who will officially lead Venezuela at the end of 2026? Top outcome: Delcy Rodríguez | 23.0% | 24.2% | Med | $4,860,194.56 | Refresh |
| Will Iran hold a presidential election? Yes refers to: Before Jan 1, 2027 | 17.0% | 13.1% | High | $66,065.63 | Refresh |
| Will Alberta vote to secede from Canada? Yes refers to: Before the next general election | 22.0% | 10.9% | Med | $59,350.45 | Refresh |
| EU loses a member before 2030? Yes refers to: By 2030 | 14.0% | 10.6% | Med | $23,020.1 | Refresh |
| Which countries will vote to leave the EU before 2030? Top outcome: Hungary | 4.6% | 1.6% | Med | $11,539 | Refresh |
| What countries will hold referenda on leaving the EU? Top outcome: Hungary | 3.0% | 1.2% | Med | $5,592.76 | Refresh |
| Who will be named as Xi Jinping's successor? Top outcome: Chen Jining | 1.0% | 1.0% | High | $12,465 | Refresh |
| Who will be the next Prime Minister of the UK? Top outcome: Rupert Lowe | 6.0% | 6.0% | High | $457,285 | Refresh |
| Who will the next Pope be? Top outcome: Pietro Parolin | 8.2% | 22.3% | High | $77,974 | Refresh |
| Who will be the next new Prime Minister of Israel? Top outcome: Naftali Bennett | 31.0% | 30.6% | High | $53,101 | Refresh |
Expired Markets (1)
Yes
Market Model — —
| Event | Market | Model | Conf | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| — | — | High | $604,417.62 |
