Maine Senate Exact Outcome Kalshi
Democratic party wins
Market Model 62.0% 64.7%
Republican party wins
Market Model 37.0% 35.3%
Senate Combos Markets
2026 Midterm Election Tracker Live odds for every Senate and Governor race, the balance of power, and an interactive state map.Active Markets (5)
Yes
Market Model 64.0% 64.0%
Closest Senate race in 2026? Kalshi
Kansas
Market Model 15.0% 15.2%
Texas
Market Model 9.5% 9.4%
54
Market Model 12.0% 10.6%
Below 53
Market Model 59.0% 56.6%
Above 52
Market Model 46.0% 38.1%
52
Market Model 19.0% 18.0%
| Event | Market | Model | Conf | TI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maine Senate Exact Outcome Top outcome: Democratic party wins | 62.0% | 64.7% | High | 30 | Refresh |
| Will Democrats sweep the "core four" Senate races? Yes refers to: Yes | 64.0% | 64.0% | Med | 92 | Refresh |
| Closest Senate race in 2026? Top outcome: Kansas | 15.0% | 15.2% | High | 79 | Refresh |
| 12.0% | 10.6% | High | 67 | Refresh | |
| How many Senate seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms? Top outcome: Above 52 | 46.0% | 38.1% | Med | 91 | Refresh |
