United Russia (ER)
Market Model 70.0% 60.6%
Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)
Market Model 4.9% 6.8%
International Election Props Markets
Active Markets (9)
Marine Le Pen
Market Model 86.0% 77.7%
Jordan Bardella
Market Model 8.9% 3.5%
Next Brazil Senate Election: Most Seats Won Polymarket
PL
Market Model 77.0% 80.7%
MDB
Market Model 16.3% 16.9%
Russia Parliamentary Election: 2nd Place Polymarket
Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF)
Market Model 81.0% 79.0%
Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)
Market Model 10.9% 9.7%
Renan Santos Victory
Market Model 0.9% 0.9%
Lula da Silva 10-15%
Market Model 26.1% 15.2%
Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva
Market Model 96.1% 95.6%
Tarcisio de Frietas
Market Model 0.5% 0.2%
Renan Santos
Market Model 52.0% 50.4%
Ratinho Júnior
Market Model 0.1% 0.1%
French election called by...? Polymarket
Yes
Market Model 13.0% 7.5%
Renan Santos
Market Model 6.0% 6.8%
Fernando Haddad
Market Model 0.2% 0.2%
| Event | Market | Model | Conf | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election? Top outcome: United Russia (ER) | 70.0% | 60.6% | High | $24,256,661.21 | Refresh |
| 2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot? Top outcome: Marine Le Pen | 86.0% | 77.7% | Med | $289,784.2 | Refresh |
| Next Brazil Senate Election: Most Seats Won Top outcome: PL | 77.0% | 80.7% | High | $293,650.06 | Refresh |
| Russia Parliamentary Election: 2nd Place Top outcome: Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) | 81.0% | 79.0% | High | $318,944.38 | Refresh |
| Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory Top outcome: Renan Santos Victory | 0.9% | 0.9% | High | $323,380.99 | Refresh |
| Which candidates will advance to Brazil's presidential runoff? Top outcome: Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva | 96.1% | 95.6% | Med | $480,108.39 | Refresh |
| Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 3rd Place Top outcome: Renan Santos | 52.0% | 50.4% | Med | $549,272.03 | Refresh |
| French election called by...? Yes refers to: December 31, 2026 | 13.0% | 7.5% | High | $1,090,565.88 | Refresh |
| Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place Top outcome: Renan Santos | 6.0% | 6.8% | High | $4,427,416.33 | Refresh |
Expired Markets (1)
Yes
Market Model — —
| Event | Market | Model | Conf | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| — | — | Med | $293,543.5 |
