Bottoms by 0+
Market Model 6.0% 3.0%
Ossoff by 15-18
Market Model 8.0% 4.0%
Election Combos Markets
2026 Midterm Election Tracker Live odds for every Senate and Governor race, the balance of power, and an interactive state map.Active Markets (13)
Maine Senate Exact Outcome Kalshi
Democratic party wins
Market Model 62.0% 64.7%
Republican party wins
Market Model 37.0% 35.3%
Yes
Market Model 64.0% 64.0%
Republicans sweep
Market Model 8.2% 5.6%
R-House, D-Senate
Market Model 0.8% 0.7%
10
Market Model 4.2% 3.3%
9
Market Model 40.0% 38.6%
Yes
Market Model 60.0% 61.9%
2
Market Model 34.0% 36.8%
1
Market Model 66.0% 61.7%
Republicans win
Market Model 5.4% 4.2%
Democrats, 0 to 2%
Market Model 2.0% 1.4%
Above 249
Market Model 25.0% 14.7%
Below 210
Market Model 3.3% 2.9%
Closest Senate race in 2026? Kalshi
Kansas
Market Model 15.0% 15.2%
Texas
Market Model 9.5% 9.4%
54
Market Model 12.0% 10.6%
Below 53
Market Model 59.0% 56.6%
Below 193
Market Model 51.0% 53.6%
218-222
Market Model 5.0% 4.2%
Above 52
Market Model 46.0% 38.1%
52
Market Model 19.0% 18.0%
