Yes
Market Model 1.0% 0.6%
Policy Markets
2026 Midterm Election Tracker Live odds for every Senate and Governor race, the balance of power, and an interactive state map.Active Markets (1)
| Event | Market | Model | Conf | TI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Democrats hold a midterm convention? Yes refers to: Before Nov 3, 2026 | 1.0% | 0.6% | Med | 83 | Refresh |
