Toby Doeden
Market Model 11.0% 8.6%
Larry Rhoden
Market Model 89.0% 91.4%
Primaries Markets
Active Markets (112)
Jim Priest
Market Model 11.0% 8.3%
N’Kiyla Thomas
Market Model 88.0% 91.7%
Pamela Evette
Market Model 14.0% 11.8%
Alan Wilson
Market Model 85.0% 88.2%
Burt Jones
Market Model 77.0% 69.4%
Rick Jackson
Market Model 24.0% 30.6%
Steve Hilton
Market Model 0.8% 0.0%
Xavier Becerra
Market Model 99.3% 100.0%
Mark Smith
Market Model 62.0% 60.9%
Jenny Costa Honeycutt
Market Model 47.0% 39.1%
1 Democrat and 1 Republican
Market Model 87.0% 84.8%
2 Democrats
Market Model 17.0% 15.2%
Ken Paxton, 20%+
Market Model 99.8% 99.9%
Ken Paxton, 15-20%
Market Model 0.2% 0.0%
Christina Blunt
Market Model 0.0% 46.9%
Kelley Dennison
Market Model 0.0% 53.1%
Elaine Pelino
Market Model 37.0% 32.3%
Aaron Guckian
Market Model 63.0% 65.2%
Esther Kim Varet
Market Model 39.0% 26.0%
Young Kim
Market Model 86.0% 81.5%
Talarico vs. Paxton
Market Model 93.4% 94.0%
Talarico vs. Cornyn
Market Model 6.0% 6.0%
Ken Paxton
Market Model 93.9% 95.8%
John Cornyn
Market Model 6.7% 4.2%
John Field
Market Model 0.0% 47.8%
Micah Jones
Market Model 0.0% 52.2%
Anthony Suttles
Market Model 0.0% 27.0%
Julie Perry
Market Model 0.0% 27.0%
Randy Villegas
Market Model 44.0% 31.0%
Rudy Salas
Market Model 3.0% 1.0%
Alex Balazs
Market Model 5.0% 3.9%
Julie Fedorchak
Market Model 97.0% 92.0%
Alexandria Foxworth
Market Model 0.0% 53.1%
George Marsh
Market Model 0.0% 47.0%
Jamie Davis
Market Model 86.0% 85.0%
Gary Crockett
Market Model 2.0% 9.0%
Spencer Pratt wins
Market Model 31.0% 23.1%
Karen Bass, 4-8%
Market Model 14.0% 19.5%
Jose Orozco
Market Model 5.0% 80.0%
Greg Cunningham
Market Model 0.0% 20.0%
Christina Bohannan
Market Model 96.0% 93.0%
Travis Terrell
Market Model 9.0% 7.0%
Nikki Gronli
Market Model 97.0% 97.1%
Scott Schlagel
Market Model 4.0% 2.9%
Dave Bronson
Market Model 35.0% 22.2%
Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins
Market Model 52.0% 39.6%
Yes
Market Model 52.0% 56.0%
Burt Jones, 3-6%
Market Model 96.0% 34.6%
Rick Jackson, 6-9%
Market Model 23.0% 8.5%
Doris Matsui
Market Model 88.0% 77.2%
Mai Vang
Market Model 12.0% 14.4%
Haley Stevens
Market Model 31.0% 30.6%
Mallory McMorrow
Market Model 31.0% 24.3%
Lateefah Simon
Market Model 91.0% 99.6%
Jamie Joyce
Market Model 0.0% 0.4%
Christian Menefee
Market Model 94.3% 95.6%
Al Green
Market Model 6.0% 4.4%
Robb Tucker
Market Model 69.0% 47.8%
Christine Bish
Market Model 22.0% 11.5%
Robert Menendez Jr.
Market Model 89.0% 91.7%
Mussab Ali
Market Model 13.0% 8.3%
Christopher Gonzales
Market Model 7.5% 4.6%
Eric Troutman
Market Model 26.0% 13.6%
Diego Morales
Market Model 81.0% 47.9%
David Shelton
Market Model 91.0% 51.7%
Hilda Solis
Market Model 98.0% 98.1%
Monica Sanchez
Market Model 34.0% 18.4%
Brad Sherman
Market Model 96.0% 92.6%
Marena Lin
Market Model 8.0% 1.6%
Above 60k
Market Model 96.0% 96.0%
Above 90k
Market Model 52.0% 53.5%
Yes
Market Model 17.0% 22.0%
Scott Wiener
Market Model 94.3% 91.9%
Saikat Chakrabarti
Market Model 79.0% 69.7%
Ceci Truman
Market Model 28.0% 16.1%
Joe Males
Market Model 77.0% 69.9%
0
Market Model 79.0% 76.7%
1
Market Model 19.0% 14.4%
Colin Allred
Market Model 79.0% 82.5%
Julie Johnson
Market Model 23.0% 17.5%
Jeremy Moss
Market Model 93.0% 88.5%
Dave Woodward
Market Model 0.6% 0.5%
Chip Roy
Market Model 38.0% 29.5%
Mayes Middleton
Market Model 67.0% 70.5%
Laura Friedman
Market Model 99.1% 98.8%
Scott Meyers
Market Model 75.0% 67.3%
At least 10%
Market Model 69.0% 54.7%
At least 20%
Market Model 49.0% 35.2%
Rakhi Israni Singh
Market Model 49.0% 36.3%
Aisha Wahab
Market Model 98.8% 98.4%
Maxine Waters
Market Model 97.9% 98.0%
David Sedlik
Market Model 7.5% 2.9%
Tiffany Burress
Market Model 10.0% 6.7%
Rosie Pino
Market Model 86.0% 93.3%
Xavier Becerra
Market Model 62.0% 51.2%
Matt Mahan
Market Model 5.6% 2.0%
Above 1.0M
Market Model 1.0% 0.0%
Above 900k
Market Model 3.0% 0.0%
Jon Bonck
Market Model 98.6% 97.8%
Shelly DeZevallos
Market Model 4.5% 2.2%
Mike Rogers
Market Model 99.0% 93.4%
Kent Benham
Market Model 1.0% 0.8%
Salud Carbajal
Market Model 95.8% 94.5%
Sarah Bacon
Market Model 7.1% 2.7%
Cori Bush
Market Model 37.0% 31.2%
Wesley Bell
Market Model 68.0% 68.8%
Robert White
Market Model 59.0% 44.3%
Brooke Pinto
Market Model 27.0% 23.4%
Andy Biggs
Market Model 96.9% 65.9%
Karrin Taylor Robson
Market Model 1.0% 21.0%
Tim Walz
Market Model 1.6% 0.0%
Amy Klobuchar
Market Model 93.0% 78.9%
Billy Webster
Market Model 18.0% 16.2%
Jermaine Johnson
Market Model 72.0% 64.9%
Sam Bregman
Market Model 13.0% 11.1%
Deb Haaland
Market Model 86.0% 87.1%
Beth Davidson
Market Model 43.0% 28.8%
Cait Conley
Market Model 50.0% 33.0%
Sharice Davids
Market Model 15.0% 15.6%
Noah Taylor
Market Model 17.0% 18.0%
Phil Weiser
Market Model 32.0% 26.1%
Michael Bennet
Market Model 73.0% 73.1%
Graham Platner, ≥50%
Market Model 20.0% 18.8%
Graham Platner, 30-40%
Market Model 20.0% 18.8%
Mike Lindell
Market Model 15.0% 15.5%
Lisa Demuth
Market Model 63.0% 62.5%
Nirav Shah
Market Model 21.0% 29.7%
Troy Jackson
Market Model 4.4% 22.1%
Stefany Shaheen
Market Model 61.0% 62.8%
Maura Sullivan
Market Model 35.0% 28.1%
Ryan Busse
Market Model 56.0% 53.6%
Sam Forstag
Market Model 26.0% 33.5%
Antonio Reynoso
Market Model 24.0% 26.3%
Claire Valdez
Market Model 74.0% 66.2%
Allen Waters
Market Model 7.0% 3.4%
Raymond McKay
Market Model 87.0% 96.6%
Jerri Green
Market Model 86.0% 76.7%
Adam Kurtz
Market Model 11.0% 11.3%
Dan Koh
Market Model 79.0% 76.2%
Seth Moulton
Market Model 3.0% 15.9%
Aaron Ford
Market Model 98.1% 96.3%
Steve Sisolak
Market Model 1.7% 1.8%
Adrian Boafo
Market Model 61.0% 38.4%
Rushern Baker III
Market Model 14.0% 7.7%
Mike Mazzei
Market Model 28.0% 23.5%
Gentner Drummond
Market Model 52.0% 38.0%
Lindsey Graham
Market Model 87.0% 86.2%
Paul Dans
Market Model 1.0% 0.1%
Chi Ossé
Market Model 7.2% 5.2%
Hakeem Jeffries
Market Model 97.5% 88.0%
Bill Cassidy, 9%+
Market Model 1.0% 4.1%
Bill Cassidy, 3-6%
Market Model 1.0% 8.1%
Michael Minogue
Market Model 80.0% 93.4%
Brian Shortsleeve
Market Model 6.0% 5.9%
Jocelyn Benson
Market Model 89.0% 92.5%
Chris Swanson
Market Model 6.7% 6.8%
Katherine Clark
Market Model 88.0% 99.8%
Jonathan Paz
Market Model 12.0% 0.1%
Mike Thompson
Market Model 97.7% 97.4%
Eric Jones
Market Model 90.0% 93.0%
Laurel Libby
Market Model 1.0% 0.6%
Jonathan Bush
Market Model 23.0% 22.9%
Jim Clyburn
Market Model 96.0% 99.0%
Frederick Goodwin
Market Model 9.0% 1.0%
Nithya Raman vs. Karen Bass
Market Model 62.0% 53.5%
Karen Bass vs. Spencer Pratt
Market Model 17.0% 16.5%
T.W. Shannon
Market Model 89.0% 86.2%
Cindy Byrd
Market Model 2.0% 1.6%
Darializa Avila Chevalier
Market Model 47.0% 21.2%
Adriano Espaillat
Market Model 56.0% 55.1%
Amish Shah
Market Model 72.0% 69.3%
Marlene Galán-Woods
Market Model 2.0% 2.1%
Barry Moore
Market Model 90.1% 78.1%
Jared Hudson
Market Model 9.9% 16.7%
Ben McAdams
Market Model 76.0% 85.8%
Nate Blouin
Market Model 24.0% 8.3%
Adam Hamawy
Market Model 52.0% 26.4%
Sue Altman
Market Model 15.0% 9.1%
Michael Blake
Market Model 15.0% 3.1%
Ritchie Torres
Market Model 85.0% 90.4%
Megan Degenfelder
Market Model 77.0% 77.5%
Eric Barlow
Market Model 28.0% 18.3%
Angie Craig
Market Model 26.0% 18.4%
Peggy Flanagan
Market Model 76.0% 72.8%
Julia Letlow
Market Model 62.0% 61.2%
John Fleming
Market Model 39.0% 26.5%
Dan McKee
Market Model 29.0% 19.9%
Helena Foulkes
Market Model 70.0% 79.1%
Matt Little
Market Model 69.0% 76.4%
Matt Klein
Market Model 12.0% 14.4%
4 or more
Market Model 12.0% 11.3%
2
Market Model 41.0% 38.7%
Randy Feenstra
Market Model 74.0% 69.3%
Zach Lahn
Market Model 17.0% 9.1%
Celeste Maloy
Market Model 70.0% 75.5%
Phil Lyman
Market Model 29.0% 24.5%
Mike Collins
Market Model 87.0% 61.5%
Brian Kemp
Market Model 1.0% 0.4%
Zach Wahls
Market Model 22.0% 32.7%
Josh Turek
Market Model 75.0% 65.1%
Anthony D’Esposito
Market Model 0.4% 20.0%
Don Clavin
Market Model 3.6% 1.0%
Perry Johnson
Market Model 56.0% 41.8%
John James
Market Model 39.0% 36.8%
Francesca Hong
Market Model 38.0% 37.5%
Mandela Barnes
Market Model 52.0% 30.7%
Abdul El-Sayed
Market Model 51.0% 36.4%
Haley Stevens
Market Model 21.0% 26.3%
James Fishback
Market Model 5.8% 10.1%
Byron Donalds
Market Model 95.2% 79.8%
Nancy Lacore
Market Model 81.0% 69.2%
Mac Deford
Market Model 20.0% 24.7%
April Verlato
Market Model 94.7% 96.9%
Peter Roybal
Market Model 36.0% 11.5%
Xavier Becerra vs. Steve Hilton
Market Model 93.0% 14.7%
Xavier Becerra vs. Tom Steyer
Market Model 7.0% 10.0%
Renada Collins
Market Model 4.0% 2.3%
Troy Carter
Market Model 95.2% 97.7%
Graham Platner
Market Model 98.2% 81.8%
Janet Mills
Market Model 1.4% 13.1%
| Event | Market | Model | Conf | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| South Dakota Republican Governor nominee? Top outcome: Toby Doeden | 11.0% | 8.6% | High | $1,189,686.25 | Refresh |
| Oklahoma Democratic Senate nominee? Top outcome: Jim Priest | 11.0% | 8.3% | High | $30,241.3 | Refresh |
| South Carolina Republican Governor nominee? Top outcome: Pamela Evette | 14.0% | 11.8% | High | $2,485,134.88 | Refresh |
| Georgia Republican Governor nominee? Top outcome: Burt Jones | 77.0% | 69.4% | High | $1,331,421.46 | Refresh |
| California Governor primary: 1st place Top outcome: Steve Hilton | 0.8% | 0.0% | High | $5,761,175.96 | Refresh |
| SC-01 Republican nominee? Top outcome: Mark Smith | 62.0% | 60.9% | High | $131,782.28 | Refresh |
| California Governor primary advancers? (Party) Top outcome: 1 Democrat and 1 Republican | 87.0% | 84.8% | Med | $1,518,436.66 | Refresh |
| Texas Republican Senate Runoff: Margin of Victory Top outcome: Ken Paxton, 20%+ | 99.8% | 99.9% | High | $3,541,667.41 | Refresh |
| CO-02 Republican nominee? Top outcome: Christina Blunt | 0.0% | 46.9% | High | $0 | Refresh |
| Rhode Island Republican Governor nominee? Top outcome: Elaine Pelino | 37.0% | 32.3% | High | $7,079.72 | Refresh |
| CA-40 primary advancers? Top outcome: Esther Kim Varet | 39.0% | 26.0% | Med | $50,178.09 | Refresh |
| 2026 Texas Senate matchup? Top outcome: Talarico vs. Paxton | 93.4% | 94.0% | High | $3,107,882.37 | Refresh |
| Texas Republican Senate nominee? Top outcome: Ken Paxton | 93.9% | 95.8% | High | $14,028,913.93 | Refresh |
| MA-06 Republican nominee? Top outcome: John Field | 0.0% | 47.8% | High | $0 | Refresh |
| VA-10 Republican nominee? Top outcome: Anthony Suttles | 0.0% | 27.0% | High | $0 | Refresh |
| Who will advance from the CA-22 primary? Top outcome: Randy Villegas | 44.0% | 31.0% | Med | $38,057.63 | Refresh |
| ND-AL Republican nominee? Top outcome: Alex Balazs | 5.0% | 3.9% | High | $2,564.33 | Refresh |
| NY-05 Republican nominee? Top outcome: Alexandria Foxworth | 0.0% | 53.1% | High | $0 | Refresh |
| Louisiana Democratic Senate nominee? Top outcome: Jamie Davis | 86.0% | 85.0% | High | $17,160.22 | Refresh |
| Los Angeles mayoral election first round: margin of victory Top outcome: Spencer Pratt wins | 31.0% | 23.1% | High | $35,505.07 | Refresh |
| NM-02 Republican nominee? Top outcome: Jose Orozco | 5.0% | 80.0% | High | $1 | Refresh |
| IA-01 Democratic nominee? Top outcome: Christina Bohannan | 96.0% | 93.0% | High | $8,757.4 | Refresh |
| SD-AL Democratic nominee? Top outcome: Nikki Gronli | 97.0% | 97.1% | High | $28,123.49 | Refresh |
| Who will advance from Alaska's top-four primary for Governor? Top outcome: Dave Bronson | 35.0% | 22.2% | Med | $49,234.15 | Refresh |
| 2026 Republican Senate primaries combo Yes refers to: Yes | 52.0% | 56.0% | Med | $26,777.09 | Refresh |
| Georgia Republican Governor primary: first round margin of victory Top outcome: Burt Jones, 3-6% | 96.0% | 34.6% | High | $1,735.51 | Refresh |
| CA-07 primary: first place Top outcome: Doris Matsui | 88.0% | 77.2% | High | $13,851.04 | Refresh |
| Michigan Senate Democratic primary: 2nd place Top outcome: Haley Stevens | 31.0% | 30.6% | High | $4,393.88 | Refresh |
| CA-12 primary: first place Top outcome: Lateefah Simon | 91.0% | 99.6% | High | $18,075.53 | Refresh |
| TX-18 Democratic nominee? Top outcome: Christian Menefee | 94.3% | 95.6% | High | $84,605.89 | Refresh |
| CA-03 primary: Who will advance? Top outcome: Robb Tucker | 69.0% | 47.8% | Med | $33,229.23 | Refresh |
| NJ-08 Democratic nominee? Top outcome: Robert Menendez Jr. | 89.0% | 91.7% | High | $22,455.97 | Refresh |
| CA-47 primary: Who will advance? Top outcome: Christopher Gonzales | 7.5% | 4.6% | Med | $18,825.9 | Refresh |
| Indiana Republican Secretary of State nominee? Top outcome: Diego Morales | 81.0% | 47.9% | High | $25,238.32 | Refresh |
| CA-38 primary: Who will advance? Top outcome: Hilda Solis | 98.0% | 98.1% | Med | $26,981.63 | Refresh |
| CA-32 primary: first place Top outcome: Brad Sherman | 96.0% | 92.6% | High | $7,298.66 | Refresh |
| KY-04 Republican primary: voter turnout Top outcome: Above 60k | 96.0% | 96.0% | High | $20,458.03 | Refresh |
| 2026 Democratic Senate primaries combo Yes refers to: Yes | 17.0% | 22.0% | Med | $121,044.14 | Refresh |
| Who will advance from the CA-11 primary? Top outcome: Scott Wiener | 94.3% | 91.9% | Med | $100,610.18 | Refresh |
| CA-25 primary: Who will advance? Top outcome: Ceci Truman | 28.0% | 16.1% | Med | $9,317.84 | Refresh |
| How many Senate Democrats will lose their primary in 2026? Top outcome: 0 | 79.0% | 76.7% | High | $108,537.22 | Refresh |
| TX-33 Democratic nominee? Top outcome: Colin Allred | 79.0% | 82.5% | High | $248,957.99 | Refresh |
| MI-11 Democratic nominee? Top outcome: Jeremy Moss | 93.0% | 88.5% | High | $7,762.72 | Refresh |
| Texas Republican Attorney General nominee? Top outcome: Chip Roy | 38.0% | 29.5% | High | $193,444.6 | Refresh |
| CA-30 primary: Who will advance? Top outcome: Laura Friedman | 99.1% | 98.8% | Med | $77,961.28 | Refresh |
| Florida Republican Governor primary: James Fishback vote percent Top outcome: At least 10% | 69.0% | 54.7% | High | $41,250.71 | Refresh |
| CA-14 primary: Who will advance? Top outcome: Rakhi Israni Singh | 49.0% | 36.3% | Med | $75,946.3 | Refresh |
| CA-43 primary: Who will advance? Top outcome: Maxine Waters | 97.9% | 98.0% | Med | $8,974.29 | Refresh |
| NJ-09 Republican nominee? Top outcome: Tiffany Burress | 10.0% | 6.7% | High | $14,991.01 | Refresh |
| California Governor primary advancers? (Person) Top outcome: Xavier Becerra | 62.0% | 51.2% | Med | $829,852.4 | Refresh |
| Ohio Republican Governor primary: voter turnout Top outcome: Above 1.0M | 1.0% | 0.0% | High | $106,613.83 | Refresh |
| TX-38 Republican nominee? Top outcome: Jon Bonck | 98.6% | 97.8% | High | $37,086.4 | Refresh |
| Michigan Republican Senate nominee? Top outcome: Mike Rogers | 99.0% | 93.4% | High | $2,830.3 | Refresh |
| CA-24 primary: Who will advance? Top outcome: Salud Carbajal | 95.8% | 94.5% | Med | $10,875.14 | Refresh |
| MO-01 Democratic nominee? Top outcome: Cori Bush | 37.0% | 31.2% | High | $13,250.89 | Refresh |
| DC Democratic House delegate nominee? Top outcome: Robert White | 59.0% | 44.3% | High | $6,960.07 | Refresh |
| Arizona Republican Governor nominee? Top outcome: Andy Biggs | 96.9% | 65.9% | High | $59,442.92 | Refresh |
| Minnesota Democratic Governor nominee? Top outcome: Tim Walz | 1.6% | 0.0% | High | $444,024.37 | Refresh |
| South Carolina Democratic Governor nominee? Top outcome: Billy Webster | 18.0% | 16.2% | Med | $2,610.73 | Refresh |
| New Mexico Democratic Governor nominee? Top outcome: Sam Bregman | 13.0% | 11.1% | High | $33,451.1 | Refresh |
| NY-17 Democratic nominee? Top outcome: Beth Davidson | 43.0% | 28.8% | High | $17,332.8 | Refresh |
| Kansas Democratic Senate nominee? Top outcome: Sharice Davids | 15.0% | 15.6% | High | $26,397.86 | Refresh |
| Colorado Democratic Governor nominee? Top outcome: Phil Weiser | 32.0% | 26.1% | High | $32,084.29 | Refresh |
| Margin of victory in the Maine Democratic Senate primary? Top outcome: Graham Platner, ≥50% | 20.0% | 18.8% | High | $4,707.03 | Refresh |
| Minnesota Republican Governor nominee? Top outcome: Mike Lindell | 15.0% | 15.5% | High | $115,661.33 | Refresh |
| Maine Democratic Governor nominee? Top outcome: Nirav Shah | 21.0% | 29.7% | High | $42,644.04 | Refresh |
| NH-01 Democratic nominee? Top outcome: Stefany Shaheen | 61.0% | 62.8% | High | $5,698.9 | Refresh |
| MT-01 Democratic nominee? Top outcome: Ryan Busse | 56.0% | 53.6% | High | $17,019.27 | Refresh |
| NY-07 Democratic nominee? Top outcome: Antonio Reynoso | 24.0% | 26.3% | High | $57,706.19 | Refresh |
| Rhode Island Republican Senate nominee? Top outcome: Allen Waters | 7.0% | 3.4% | High | $5,199 | Refresh |
| Tennessee Democratic Governor nominee? Top outcome: Jerri Green | 86.0% | 76.7% | High | $8,537.6 | Refresh |
| MA-06 Democratic nominee? Top outcome: Dan Koh | 79.0% | 76.2% | High | $11,518.17 | Refresh |
| Nevada Democratic Governor nominee? Top outcome: Aaron Ford | 98.1% | 96.3% | High | $8,378.58 | Refresh |
| MD-05 Democratic nominee? Top outcome: Adrian Boafo | 61.0% | 38.4% | High | $12,268.73 | Refresh |
| Oklahoma Republican Governor nominee? Top outcome: Mike Mazzei | 28.0% | 23.5% | High | $67,235.85 | Refresh |
| South Carolina Republican Senate nominee? Top outcome: Lindsey Graham | 87.0% | 86.2% | High | $151,849.16 | Refresh |
| NY-08 Democratic nominee? Top outcome: Chi Ossé | 7.2% | 5.2% | High | $33,297.61 | Refresh |
| Louisiana Republican Senate primary: margin of victory Top outcome: Bill Cassidy, 9%+ | 1.0% | 4.1% | Med | $39,534.65 | Refresh |
| Massachusetts Republican Governor nominee? Top outcome: Michael Minogue | 80.0% | 93.4% | High | $33,904.62 | Refresh |
| Michigan Democratic Governor nominee? Top outcome: Jocelyn Benson | 89.0% | 92.5% | High | $43,596.06 | Refresh |
| MA-05 Democratic nominee? Top outcome: Katherine Clark | 88.0% | 99.8% | High | $1,208.69 | Refresh |
| CA-04 primary advancers? Top outcome: Mike Thompson | 97.7% | 97.4% | Med | $18,900.5 | Refresh |
| Maine Republican Governor nominee? Top outcome: Laurel Libby | 1.0% | 0.6% | High | $56,282.51 | Refresh |
| SC-06 Democratic nominee? Top outcome: Jim Clyburn | 96.0% | 99.0% | High | $911.01 | Refresh |
| Los Angeles mayor matchup Top outcome: Nithya Raman vs. Karen Bass | 62.0% | 53.5% | Med | $9,344.18 | Refresh |
| Oklahoma Republican Lieutenant Governor nominee? Top outcome: T.W. Shannon | 89.0% | 86.2% | High | $14,552.01 | Refresh |
| NY-13 Democratic nominee? Top outcome: Darializa Avila Chevalier | 47.0% | 21.2% | High | $13,494.35 | Refresh |
| AZ-01 Democratic nominee? Top outcome: Amish Shah | 72.0% | 69.3% | High | $19,661.65 | Refresh |
| Alabama Republican Senate nominee? Top outcome: Barry Moore | 90.1% | 78.1% | High | $110,148.25 | Refresh |
| UT-01 Democratic nominee? Top outcome: Ben McAdams | 76.0% | 85.8% | High | $19,782.44 | Refresh |
| NJ-12 Democratic nominee? Top outcome: Adam Hamawy | 52.0% | 26.4% | Med | $5,154.87 | Refresh |
| NY-15 Democratic nominee? Top outcome: Michael Blake | 15.0% | 3.1% | Med | $16,176.98 | Refresh |
| Wyoming Republican Governor nominee? Top outcome: Megan Degenfelder | 77.0% | 77.5% | High | $12,535.32 | Refresh |
| Minnesota Democratic Senate nominee? Top outcome: Angie Craig | 26.0% | 18.4% | High | $61,356.33 | Refresh |
| Louisiana Republican Senate nominee? Top outcome: Julia Letlow | 62.0% | 61.2% | High | $154,382.92 | Refresh |
| Rhode Island Democratic Governor nominee? Top outcome: Dan McKee | 29.0% | 19.9% | High | $8,749.43 | Refresh |
| MN-02 Democratic nominee? Top outcome: Matt Little | 69.0% | 76.4% | High | $22,258.5 | Refresh |
| How many Senate Republicans will lose their primary in 2026? Top outcome: 4 or more | 12.0% | 11.3% | High | $342,263.96 | Refresh |
| Iowa Republican Governor nominee? Top outcome: Randy Feenstra | 74.0% | 69.3% | High | $59,213.39 | Refresh |
| UT-03 Republican nominee? Top outcome: Celeste Maloy | 70.0% | 75.5% | High | $16,484.57 | Refresh |
| Georgia Republican Senate nominee? Top outcome: Mike Collins | 87.0% | 61.5% | High | $151,294.45 | Refresh |
| Iowa Democratic Senate nominee? Top outcome: Zach Wahls | 22.0% | 32.7% | High | $45,030.94 | Refresh |
| NY-04 Republican nominee? Top outcome: Anthony D’Esposito | 0.4% | 20.0% | High | $36,238.63 | Refresh |
| Michigan Republican Governor nominee? Top outcome: Perry Johnson | 56.0% | 41.8% | High | $159,844.9 | Refresh |
| Wisconsin Democratic Governor nominee? Top outcome: Francesca Hong | 38.0% | 37.5% | Med | $123,713.92 | Refresh |
| Michigan Democratic Senate nominee? Top outcome: Abdul El-Sayed | 51.0% | 36.4% | High | $399,844.4 | Refresh |
| Florida Republican Governor nominee? Top outcome: James Fishback | 5.8% | 10.1% | High | $3,527,229.59 | Refresh |
| SC-01 Democratic nominee? Top outcome: Nancy Lacore | 81.0% | 69.2% | High | $13,788 | Refresh |
| CA-28 primary: Who will advance? Top outcome: April Verlato | 94.7% | 96.9% | Med | $2,440.03 | Refresh |
| California Governor matchup? Top outcome: Xavier Becerra vs. Steve Hilton | 93.0% | 14.7% | Med | $209,346.69 | Refresh |
| LA-02 Democratic nominee? Top outcome: Renada Collins | 4.0% | 2.3% | High | $118 | Refresh |
| Maine Democratic Senate nominee? Top outcome: Graham Platner | 98.2% | 81.8% | High | $2,568,406.04 | Refresh |
Expired Markets (31)
Jim Risch
Market Model 97.2% 96.8%
Joe Evans
Market Model 3.8% 3.2%
Amanda Pusczek
Market Model 36.0% 73.8%
Shane Weaver
Market Model 9.3% 26.2%
Ryan Millsap
Market Model 54.0% 46.5%
Houston Gaines
Market Model 46.0% 52.5%
Julia Letlow
Market Model 67.0% 57.6%
John Fleming
Market Model 31.0% 35.3%
Russ Fulcher
Market Model 99.0% 99.8%
Joseph Morrison
Market Model 0.1% 0.1%
John Cavanaugh
Market Model 60.0% 60.5%
Denise Powell
Market Model 41.0% 38.2%
Brit Aguirre
Market Model 78.0% 89.1%
Vince George
Market Model 22.0% 10.9%
Jeff Kessler
Market Model 87.0% 83.6%
Rachel Fetty Anderson
Market Model 2.0% 1.5%
Yes
Market Model — —
Kaylee Peterson
Market Model 98.0% 96.1%
Ken Brungardt
Market Model 7.0% 3.9%
David Flippo
Market Model 53.0% 37.1%
James Settelmeyer
Market Model 52.0% 49.5%
Maxine Dexter
Market Model 99.0% 88.4%
Jessica Salas
Market Model 9.0% 8.0%
Bob Trammell
Market Model 6.3% 18.0%
Tanya Miller
Market Model 99.0% 82.0%
Ronald Russell
Market Model 95.0% 87.0%
Joshua Pietrowicz
Market Model 33.0% 13.0%
Jerrad Christian
Market Model 95.3% 91.4%
Jason Reynard
Market Model 9.0% 8.6%
Amy McGrath
Market Model 12.0% 11.5%
Charles Booker
Market Model 87.0% 83.2%
Chris Backemeyer
Market Model 94.0% 94.2%
Eric Moyer
Market Model 8.0% 5.8%
J.D. Ford
Market Model 92.2% 87.2%
Jackson Franklin
Market Model 8.3% 8.2%
Ryan Crosswell
Market Model 27.0% 32.7%
Bob Brooks
Market Model 71.0% 58.0%
Yes
Market Model — —
Jasmine Clark
Market Model 79.0% 75.6%
Everton Blair Jr.
Market Model 18.0% 7.6%
Chris Rabb
Market Model 38.0% 39.2%
Sharif Street
Market Model 63.0% 40.3%
Cherlynn Stevenson
Market Model 47.0% 41.7%
Zach Dembo
Market Model 46.0% 31.8%
Above 1.2M
Market Model 99.5% 99.6%
Above 1.4M
Market Model 99.7% 99.4%
Derek Merrin
Market Model 86.0% 88.0%
Madison Sheahan
Market Model 0.3% 0.3%
Christine Drazan
Market Model 86.0% 78.3%
Chris Dudley
Market Model 5.0% 5.5%
Andy Barr
Market Model 95.1% 72.8%
Nate Morris
Market Model 0.9% 6.9%
Keisha Lance Bottoms
Market Model 86.0% 68.5%
Michael Thurmond
Market Model 13.0% 14.0%
Pete Ricketts
Market Model 96.0% 98.9%
Edward Dunn
Market Model 2.5% 1.1%
Thomas Massie
Market Model 44.0% 71.9%
Ed Gallrein
Market Model 58.0% 27.1%
Vivek Ramaswamy
Market Model 98.2% 95.3%
Casey Putsch
Market Model 2.7% 3.0%
| Event | Market | Model | Conf | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Idaho Republican Senate nominee? Top outcome: Jim Risch | 97.2% | 96.8% | High | $3,146.77 | |
| AL-04 Democratic nominee? Top outcome: Amanda Pusczek | 36.0% | 73.8% | High | $4,400.14 | |
| GA-10 Republican nominee? Top outcome: Ryan Millsap | 54.0% | 46.5% | High | $27,839.75 | |
| Louisiana Republican Senate primary: first round winner Top outcome: Julia Letlow | 67.0% | 57.6% | High | $17,457.14 | |
| ID-01 Republican nominee? Top outcome: Russ Fulcher | 99.0% | 99.8% | High | $10,994.95 | |
| NE-02 Democratic nominee? Top outcome: John Cavanaugh | 60.0% | 60.5% | High | $49,295.8 | |
| WV-01 Democratic nominee? Top outcome: Brit Aguirre | 78.0% | 89.1% | High | $4,372.15 | |
| West Virginia Democratic Senate nominee? Top outcome: Jeff Kessler | 87.0% | 83.6% | High | $19,233.31 | |
| — | — | High | $16,692.44 | ||
| ID-01 Democratic nominee? Top outcome: Kaylee Peterson | 98.0% | 96.1% | High | $5,390.41 | |
| NV-02 Republican nominee? Top outcome: David Flippo | 53.0% | 37.1% | High | $11,445.59 | |
| OR-03 Democratic nominee? Top outcome: Maxine Dexter | 99.0% | 88.4% | High | $9,265.68 | |
| Georgia Democratic Attorney General nominee? Top outcome: Bob Trammell | 6.3% | 18.0% | High | $12,631 | |
| ME-01 Republican nominee? Top outcome: Ronald Russell | 95.0% | 87.0% | High | $1,005.3 | |
| OH-12 Democratic nominee? Top outcome: Jerrad Christian | 95.3% | 91.4% | High | $114.72 | |
| Kentucky Democratic Senate nominee? Top outcome: Amy McGrath | 12.0% | 11.5% | High | $14,813.75 | |
| NE-01 Democratic nominee? Top outcome: Chris Backemeyer | 94.0% | 94.2% | High | $1,677 | |
| IN-05 Democratic nominee? Top outcome: J.D. Ford | 92.2% | 87.2% | Med | $17,561.92 | |
| PA-07 Democratic nominee? Top outcome: Ryan Crosswell | 27.0% | 32.7% | High | $32,456.39 | |
| — | — | High | $8,129.83 | ||
| GA-13 Democratic nominee? Top outcome: Jasmine Clark | 79.0% | 75.6% | High | $6,878.25 | |
| PA-03 Democratic nominee? Top outcome: Chris Rabb | 38.0% | 39.2% | High | $53,906.86 | |
| KY-06 Democratic nominee? Top outcome: Cherlynn Stevenson | 47.0% | 41.7% | High | $14,160.48 | |
| Voter turnout in the 2026 Wisconsin Supreme Court election? Top outcome: Above 1.2M | 99.5% | 99.6% | High | $76,737.74 | |
| OH-09 Republican nominee? Top outcome: Derek Merrin | 86.0% | 88.0% | High | $34,701.67 | |
| Oregon Republican Governor nominee? Top outcome: Christine Drazan | 86.0% | 78.3% | High | $78,550.68 | |
| Kentucky Republican Senate nominee? Top outcome: Andy Barr | 95.1% | 72.8% | High | $159,603.95 | |
| Georgia Democratic Governor nominee? Top outcome: Keisha Lance Bottoms | 86.0% | 68.5% | High | $182,066.32 | |
| Nebraska Republican Senate nominee? Top outcome: Pete Ricketts | 96.0% | 98.9% | High | $3,254.88 | |
| KY-04 Republican nominee? Top outcome: Thomas Massie | 44.0% | 71.9% | Med | $1,242,329.52 | |
| Ohio Republican Governor nominee? Top outcome: Vivek Ramaswamy | 98.2% | 95.3% | High | $760,262.81 |
